Sabres 2, Capitals 4 — Dec 14, 2024

BUFSabres

2–4

FINAL

WSHCapitals

Shots21BUF

Shots31WSH

Model stars

1CarlsonWSHA+2ChychrunWSHA+3StromeWSHA+

Dec 14, 2024 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

2–4

FINAL P3

WSHCapitals

Shots

BUF21

Model stars

1CarlsonWSHA+2ChychrunWSHA+3StromeWSHA+

Shots

WSH31

Dec 14, 2024 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF35.2%WSH64.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

WSH held a slight edge

WSH created 0.59 more power-play xG.

BUF

0.09xGWSH

0.69xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

≈ roughly even

WSH gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

+0.1GSAxWSH

+0.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · WSH closer

Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.

BUF

-0.33G−xGWSH

-0.29G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

WSH held a slight edge

BUF

0.09xGWSH

0.69xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

≈ roughly even

BUF

+0.1GSAxWSH

+0.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · WSH closer

BUF

-0.33G−xGWSH

-0.29G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

WSH

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

WSH

Scrub game time · 60:00

WSH 4-2 BUF

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

BUF

0.0%

WSH

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

BUF have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

WSH had the longest sustained stretch from 3:50 P2 to 2:30 P2, while WSH's best response came from 18:00 P2 to 17:10 P2.

WSH pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3WSH had the edge

WSH

Pressure

5.55

3 shots · 1.18 xG

BUF

Pressure

2.82

4 shots · 0.15 xG

High-danger chances: WSH 1 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.9xG1.6

1.5xG1.8

1.1xG2.1

BUF at WSH

Game ControlChance share: BUF 35.2%, WSH 64.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: John Carlson (WSH), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure