Lightning 3, Maple Leafs 5 — Jan 20, 2025

TBLLightning

3–5

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots30TBL

Shots28TOR

Model stars

1KniesTORA+2HedmanTBLA+3MatthewsTORA+

Jan 20, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

3–5

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

TBL30

Model stars

1KniesTORA+2HedmanTBLA+3MatthewsTORA+

Shots

TOR28

Jan 20, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL39.1%TOR60.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

TBL

0.82xGTOR

0.75xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · TOR better

TOR gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

-1.0GSAxTOR

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · TOR higher

TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

+0.36G−xGTOR

+0.88G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

TBL

0.82xGTOR

0.75xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · TOR better

TBL

-1.0GSAxTOR

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · TOR higher

TBL

+0.36G−xGTOR

+0.88G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 5-3 TBL

End of Game

60:00

5v5

TBL

0.0%

TOR

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TOR had the longest sustained stretch from 1:10 P3 to 0:00 P3, while TBL's best response came from 8:10 P3 to 7:15 P3.

TOR pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TOR dominated

TOR

Pressure

10.36

4 shots · 2.16 xG

TBL

Pressure

0.39

1 shot · 0.07 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 3 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG1.2

1.2xG1.1

1.5xG4.2

TBL at TOR

Game ControlChance share: TBL 39.1%, TOR 60.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Matthew Knies (TOR), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure