Sabres 2, Oilers 3 — Jan 25, 2025

BUFSabres

2–3

FINAL

EDMOilers

Shots41BUF

Shots34EDM

Model stars

1KapanenEDMA+2EmbersonEDMA+3Nugent-HopkinsEDMA+

Jan 25, 2025 · Rogers Place

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

2–3

FINAL P3

EDMOilers

Shots

BUF41

Model stars

1KapanenEDMA+2EmbersonEDMA+3Nugent-HopkinsEDMA+

Shots

EDM34

Jan 25, 2025 · Rogers Place

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF47.9%EDM52.1%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF dominated

BUF created 1.87 more power-play xG.

BUF

1.91xGEDM

0.04xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · EDM better

EDM gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

+1.0GSAxEDM

+2.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · EDM closer

EDM are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

-2.44G−xGEDM

-1.83G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF dominated

BUF

1.91xGEDM

0.04xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · EDM better

BUF

+1.0GSAxEDM

+2.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · EDM closer

BUF

-2.44G−xGEDM

-1.83G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

EDM

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

EDM

Scrub game time · 60:00

EDM 3-2 BUF

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

BUF

0.0%

EDM

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

BUF have the extra attacker at 5v6.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 13:15 P2 to 11:20 P2, while EDM's best response came from 6:40 P2 to 5:45 P2.

EDM pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3EDM held a slight edge

EDM

Pressure

3.08

1 shot · 0.79 xG

BUF

Pressure

1.44

3 shots · 0.20 xG

High-danger chances: EDM 1 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG2.2

2.9xG2.0

2.0xG1.6

BUF at EDM

Game ControlChance share: BUF 47.9%, EDM 52.1%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Kasperi Kapanen (EDM), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure