Lightning 3, Capitals 1 — Mar 1, 2025

TBLLightning

3–1

FINAL

WSHCapitals

Shots19TBL

Shots21WSH

Model stars

1OvechkinWSHA+2RoyWSHA+3CarlsonWSHA+

Mar 1, 2025 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

3–1

FINAL P3

WSHCapitals

Shots

TBL19

Model stars

1OvechkinWSHA+2RoyWSHA+3CarlsonWSHA+

Shots

WSH21

Mar 1, 2025 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL48.2%WSH51.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

TBL

0.90xGWSH

0.97xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

TBL dominated

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+2.0GSAxWSH

+0.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

TBL dominated

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

+0.22G−xGWSH

-1.99G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

TBL

0.90xGWSH

0.97xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

TBL dominated

TBL

+2.0GSAxWSH

+0.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

TBL dominated

TBL

+0.22G−xGWSH

-1.99G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

WSH

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

WSH

Scrub game time · 60:00

WSH 1-3 TBL

End of Game

60:00

6v4 · EN

TBL

100.0%

WSH

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WSH have the extra attacker at 6v4.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 2:50 P1 to 1:30 P1, while WSH's best response came from 4:00 P3 to 3:05 P3.

WSH pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

WSH

Pressure

2.57

5 shots · 0.49 xG

TBL

Pressure

4.09

1 shot · 0.76 xG

High-danger chances: WSH 0 · TBL 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.3xG1.0

1.1xG1.9

1.1xG2.6

TBL at WSH

Game ControlChance share: TBL 48.2%, WSH 51.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Alex Ovechkin (WSH), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure