Sabres 5, Lightning 6 — Mar 6, 2025

BUFSabres

5–6

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots33BUF

Shots26TBL

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2BjorkstrandTBLA+3BensonBUFA+

Mar 6, 2025 · Amalie Arena

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

5–6

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

BUF33

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2BjorkstrandTBLA+3BensonBUFA+

Shots

TBL26

Mar 6, 2025 · Amalie Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF44.1%TBL55.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

BUF

0.65xGTBL

0.60xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · TBL better

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

-2.9GSAxTBL

-2.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · TBL higher

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

+2.47G−xGTBL

+2.79G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

BUF

0.65xGTBL

0.60xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · TBL better

BUF

-2.9GSAxTBL

-2.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · TBL higher

BUF

+2.47G−xGTBL

+2.79G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 6-5 BUF

End of Game

60:00

3v6 · EN

BUF

0.0%

TBL

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

BUF have the extra attacker at 3v6.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 2:15 P2 to 0:45 P2, while TBL's best response came from 9:00 P2 to 7:40 P2.

TBL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3BUF dominated

TBL

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

BUF

Pressure

2.25

5 shots · 0.36 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 0 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.2xG1.0

0.9xG1.9

1.6xG1.4

BUF at TBL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 44.1%, TBL 55.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Rasmus Dahlin (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure