Oilers 2, Sabres 3 — Mar 10, 2025

EDMOilers

2–3

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots34EDM

Shots23BUF

Model stars

1NurseEDMA+2ThompsonBUFA+3StecherEDMA+

Mar 10, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

EDMOilers

2–3

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

EDM34

Model stars

1NurseEDMA+2ThompsonBUFA+3StecherEDMA+

Shots

BUF23

Mar 10, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

EDM56.3%BUF43.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

EDM had the edge

EDM created 1.12 more power-play xG.

EDM

1.15xGBUF

0.04xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

EDM

-0.5GSAxBUF

+1.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

EDM

-1.26G−xGBUF

+0.47G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

EDM had the edge

EDM

1.15xGBUF

0.04xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

EDM

-0.5GSAxBUF

+1.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

EDM

-1.26G−xGBUF

+0.47G−xG

−40+4

All situations

EDM

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

EDM

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 3-2 EDM

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

EDM

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

EDM have the extra attacker at 5v6.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 6:35 P1 to 5:10 P1, while BUF's best response came from 16:55 P2 to 15:40 P2.

BUF pressureEDM pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3EDM dominated

BUF

Pressure

2.24

1 shot · 0.46 xG

EDM

Pressure

2.71

4 shots · 0.25 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 1 · EDM 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.4xG1.7

1.4xG0.5

1.9xG1.6

EDM at BUF

Game ControlChance share: EDM 56.3%, BUF 43.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Darnell Nurse (EDM), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure