Senators 4, Maple Leafs 2 — Mar 15, 2025

OTTSenators

4–2

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots25OTT

Shots23TOR

Model stars

1CarloTORA+2NylanderTORA3RobertsonTORA

Mar 15, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

OTTSenators

4–2

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

OTT25

Model stars

1CarloTORA+2NylanderTORA3RobertsonTORA

Shots

TOR23

Mar 15, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

OTT52.1%TOR47.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

OTT

0.15xGTOR

0.23xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

OTT above expected

OTT gained the goalie advantage.

OTT

+0.7GSAxTOR

-1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

OTT finished above expected

OTT are benefiting more from finishing luck.

OTT

+1.05G−xGTOR

-0.72G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

OTT

0.15xGTOR

0.23xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

OTT above expected

OTT

+0.7GSAxTOR

-1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

OTT finished above expected

OTT

+1.05G−xGTOR

-0.72G−xG

−40+4

All situations

OTT

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

OTT

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 2-4 OTT

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

OTT

100.0%

TOR

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TOR have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

OTT had the longest sustained stretch from 5:25 P1 to 4:05 P1, while TOR's best response came from 10:30 P3 to 9:30 P3.

TOR pressureOTT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3OTT dominated

TOR

Pressure

1.82

4 shots · 0.41 xG

OTT

Pressure

5.88

2 shots · 1.03 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 0 · OTT 2. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG0.9

0.8xG1.2

2.1xG2.3

OTT at TOR

Game ControlChance share: OTT 52.1%, TOR 47.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Brandon Carlo (TOR), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure