Avalanche 1, Maple Leafs 2 — Mar 19, 2025

COLAvalanche

1–2

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots39COL

Shots26TOR

Model stars

1WollTORA+2BlackwoodCOLA+3MacKinnonCOLA+

Mar 19, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

COLAvalanche

1–2

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

COL39

Model stars

1WollTORA+2BlackwoodCOLA+3MacKinnonCOLA+

Shots

TOR26

Mar 19, 2025 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

COL51.3%TOR48.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

COL

0.59xGTOR

0.47xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TOR better

TOR gained the goalie advantage.

COL

+0.9GSAxTOR

+3.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

COL

-2.96G−xGTOR

-1.75G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

COL

0.59xGTOR

0.47xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TOR better

COL

+0.9GSAxTOR

+3.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

COL

-2.96G−xGTOR

-1.75G−xG

−40+4

All situations

COL

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

COL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 2-1 COL

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

COL

0.0%

TOR

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

COL have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TOR had the longest sustained stretch from 19:40 P2 to 18:10 P2, while COL's best response came from 0:40 P2 to 19:20 P3.

TOR pressureCOL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TOR had the edge

TOR

Pressure

3.36

2 shots · 0.82 xG

COL

Pressure

0.85

2 shots · 0.18 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 1 · COL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.3xG0.7

3.0xG1.9

1.5xG2.4

COL at TOR

Game ControlChance share: COL 51.3%, TOR 48.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Nathan MacKinnon (COL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure