Penguins 3, Sabres 7 — Mar 27, 2025

PITPenguins

3–7

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots25PIT

Shots30BUF

Model stars

1TimminsPITA+2MalenstynBUFA+3KozakBUFA+

Mar 27, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

PITPenguins

3–7

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

PIT25

Model stars

1TimminsPITA+2MalenstynBUFA+3KozakBUFA+

Shots

BUF30

Mar 27, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

PIT46.0%BUF54.0%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF created 0.26 more power-play xG.

PIT

0.50xGBUF

0.76xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

≈ roughly even

Goaltending edge unavailable.

PIT

-4.2GSAxBUF

–GSAx

−50+5

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

PIT

+0.59G−xGBUF

+4.17G−xG

−50+5

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF held a slight edge

PIT

0.50xGBUF

0.76xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

≈ roughly even

PIT

-4.2GSAxBUF

–GSAx

−50+5

Finishing luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

PIT

+0.59G−xGBUF

+4.17G−xG

−50+5

All situations

PIT

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

Loading shot map...

Win probability

Team:

PIT

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 7-3 PIT

End of Game

60:00

5v5

PIT

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

Loading goaltenders…

Loading players…

Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 10:10 P2 to 8:55 P2, while PIT's best response came from 17:50 P3 to 16:35 P3.

BUF pressurePIT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

PIT

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · PIT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.4xG1.5

1.6xG2.0

0.8xG0.7

PIT at BUF

Game ControlChance share: PIT 46.0%, BUF 54.0%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Conor Timmins (PIT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure