Lightning 1, Senators 2 — Apr 3, 2025

TBLLightning

1–2

FINAL

OTTSenators

Shots32TBL

Shots19OTT

Model stars

1GourdeTBLA+2McDonaghTBLA+3HagelTBLA+

Apr 3, 2025 · Canadian Tire Centre

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

1–2

FINAL P3

OTTSenators

Shots

TBL32

Model stars

1GourdeTBLA+2McDonaghTBLA+3HagelTBLA+

Shots

OTT19

Apr 3, 2025 · Canadian Tire Centre

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL62.6%OTT37.4%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL had the edge

TBL created 0.94 more power-play xG.

TBL

1.37xGOTT

0.43xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

OTT dominated

OTT gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

-0.1GSAxOTT

+3.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · OTT closer

OTT are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

-3.10G−xGOTT

-0.45G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL had the edge

TBL

1.37xGOTT

0.43xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

OTT dominated

TBL

-0.1GSAxOTT

+3.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · OTT closer

TBL

-3.10G−xGOTT

-0.45G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

OTT

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

OTT

Scrub game time · 60:00

OTT 2-1 TBL

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

TBL

0.0%

OTT

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TBL have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 13:00 P2 to 11:50 P2, while TBL's best response came from 2:45 P3 to 1:50 P3.

OTT pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

OTT

Pressure

3.19

2 shots · 0.75 xG

TBL

Pressure

2.45

5 shots · 0.30 xG

High-danger chances: OTT 1 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

2.0xG1.5

1.2xG1.0

2.2xG1.3

TBL at OTT

Game ControlChance share: TBL 62.6%, OTT 37.4%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Yanni Gourde (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure