Lightning 2, Sabres 3 — Apr 5, 2025

TBLLightning

2–3

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots24TBL

Shots38BUF

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2ZuckerBUFA+3TuchBUFA+

Apr 5, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

2–3

FINAL SO

BUFSabres

Shots

TBL24

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2ZuckerBUFA+3TuchBUFA+

Shots

BUF38

Apr 5, 2025 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL42.7%BUF57.3%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF had the edge

BUF created 0.92 more power-play xG.

TBL

0.72xGBUF

1.64xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TBL better

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+2.6GSAxBUF

+1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.

TBL

-1.40G−xGBUF

-1.55G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF had the edge

TBL

0.72xGBUF

1.64xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TBL better

TBL

+2.6GSAxBUF

+1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL

-1.40G−xGBUF

-1.55G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 65:00

BUF 2-2 TBL

End of Game

65:00

3v3

TBL

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 3v3.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the clearest sustained push from 14:55 P3 to 13:35 P3.

BUF pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 OT

0:00 OT≈ roughly even

BUF

Pressure

0.97

2 shots · 0.23 xG

TBL

Pressure

1.16

2 shots · 0.16 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.9xG1.1

2.4xG1.3

1.1xG2.3

0.7xG1.0

TBL at BUF

Game ControlChance share: TBL 42.7%, BUF 57.3%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Rasmus Dahlin (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure