Stars 5, Avalanche 4 — Oct 11, 2025

DALStars

5–4

FINAL

COLAvalanche

Shots22DAL

Shots39COL

Model stars

1MacKinnonCOLA+2NecasCOLA+3HarleyDALA+

Oct 11, 2025 · Ball Arena

Goal horn off

DALStars

5–4

FINAL SO

COLAvalanche

Shots

DAL22

Model stars

1MacKinnonCOLA+2NecasCOLA+3HarleyDALA+

Shots

COL39

Oct 11, 2025 · Ball Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

DAL33.2%COL66.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

COL had the edge

COL created 0.94 more power-play xG.

DAL

0.56xGCOL

1.50xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

DAL dominated

DAL gained the goalie advantage.

DAL

+0.2GSAxCOL

-1.9GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

DAL finished above expected

DAL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

DAL

+2.89G−xGCOL

-0.25G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

COL had the edge

DAL

0.56xGCOL

1.50xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

DAL dominated

DAL

+0.2GSAxCOL

-1.9GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

DAL finished above expected

DAL

+2.89G−xGCOL

-0.25G−xG

−40+4

All situations

DAL

COL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

DAL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

COL

Scrub game time · 65:00

COL 4-4 DAL

End of Game

65:00

3v3

DAL

100.0%

COL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 3v3.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

COL had the longest sustained stretch from 7:50 P3 to 6:05 P3, while COL's best response came from 11:20 P1 to 10:00 P1.

COL pressureDAL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 OT

0:00 OTCOL had the edge

COL

Pressure

1.38

2 shots · 0.25 xG

DAL

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: COL 0 · DAL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.1xG2.1

0.9xG1.3

0.7xG2.6

0.3xG0.5

DAL at COL

Game ControlChance share: DAL 33.2%, COL 66.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Nathan MacKinnon (COL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure