Lightning 4, Bruins 3 — Oct 13, 2025

TBLLightning

4–3

FINAL

BOSBruins

Shots23TBL

Shots33BOS

Model stars

1HolmbergTBLA+2BjorkstrandTBLA+3GourdeTBLA+

Oct 13, 2025 · TD Garden

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

4–3

FINAL P3

BOSBruins

Shots

TBL23

Model stars

1HolmbergTBLA+2BjorkstrandTBLA+3GourdeTBLA+

Shots

BOS33

Oct 13, 2025 · TD Garden

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL56.1%BOS43.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BOS had the edge

BOS created 1.00 more power-play xG.

TBL

0.27xGBOS

1.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · TBL better

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

-0.5GSAxBOS

-1.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · TBL higher

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

+0.86G−xGBOS

+0.54G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BOS had the edge

TBL

0.27xGBOS

1.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · TBL better

TBL

-0.5GSAxBOS

-1.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · TBL higher

TBL

+0.86G−xGBOS

+0.54G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

BOS

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

BOS

Scrub game time · 60:00

BOS 3-4 TBL

End of Game

60:00

5v4 · EN

TBL

100.0%

BOS

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

BOS have the extra attacker at 5v4.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 6:40 P1 to 5:25 P1, while BOS's best response came from 1:20 P1 to 0:15 P1.

BOS pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

BOS

Pressure

2.30

6 shots · 0.30 xG

TBL

Pressure

3.13

1 shot · 0.81 xG

High-danger chances: BOS 0 · TBL 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.5xG0.8

1.0xG1.7

2.4xG1.2

TBL at BOS

Game ControlChance share: TBL 56.1%, BOS 43.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Pontus Holmberg (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure