Lightning 4, Mammoth 2 — Nov 2, 2025

TBLLightning

4–2

FINAL

UTAMammoth

Shots26TBL

Shots27UTA

Model stars

1ColeUTAA+2YamamotoUTAA+3GuentzelTBLA+

Nov 2, 2025 · Delta Center

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

4–2

FINAL P3

UTAMammoth

Shots

TBL26

Model stars

1ColeUTAA+2YamamotoUTAA+3GuentzelTBLA+

Shots

UTA27

Nov 2, 2025 · Delta Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL62.6%UTA37.4%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

TBL

0.71xGUTA

0.59xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

TBL above expected

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+0.6GSAxUTA

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.

TBL

-0.35G−xGUTA

-0.60G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

TBL

0.71xGUTA

0.59xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

TBL above expected

TBL

+0.6GSAxUTA

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL

-0.35G−xGUTA

-0.60G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

UTA

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

UTA

Scrub game time · 60:00

UTA 2-4 TBL

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

TBL

100.0%

UTA

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

UTA have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 10:30 P1 to 9:30 P1, while TBL's best response came from 0:45 P3 to 0:00 P3.

UTA pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TBL dominated

UTA

Pressure

0.26

1 shot · 0.03 xG

TBL

Pressure

10.54

4 shots · 2.38 xG

High-danger chances: UTA 0 · TBL 3. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.5xG1.2

0.9xG1.2

3.4xG1.4

TBL at UTA

Game ControlChance share: TBL 62.6%, UTA 37.4%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Ian Cole (UTA), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure