Penguins 4, Lightning 3 — Dec 4, 2025

PITPenguins

4–3

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots31PIT

Shots40TBL

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2KucherovTBLA+3D'AstousTBLA+

Dec 4, 2025 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

PITPenguins

4–3

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

PIT31

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2KucherovTBLA+3D'AstousTBLA+

Shots

TBL40

Dec 4, 2025 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

PIT36.0%TBL64.0%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL dominated

TBL created 1.83 more power-play xG.

PIT

0.78xGTBL

2.61xG

01.53

Goaltending Edge

PIT above expected

PIT gained the goalie advantage.

PIT

+2.1GSAxTBL

-1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

PIT finished above expected

PIT are benefiting more from finishing luck.

PIT

+1.10G−xGTBL

-2.14G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL dominated

PIT

0.78xGTBL

2.61xG

01.53

Goaltending edge

PIT above expected

PIT

+2.1GSAxTBL

-1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

PIT finished above expected

PIT

+1.10G−xGTBL

-2.14G−xG

−40+4

All situations

PIT

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

PIT

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 3-4 PIT

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

PIT

100.0%

TBL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TBL have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 15:50 P3 to 14:20 P3, while TBL's best response came from 8:05 P1 to 6:40 P1.

TBL pressurePIT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TBL dominated

TBL

Pressure

5.83

7 shots · 0.63 xG

PIT

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 0 · PIT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.8xG2.2

1.3xG1.6

1.1xG2.8

PIT at TBL

Game ControlChance share: PIT 36.0%, TBL 64.0%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Brandon Hagel (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure