Maple Leafs 2, Red Wings 3 — Dec 28, 2025

TORMaple Leafs

2–3

FINAL

DETRed Wings

Shots27TOR

Shots36DET

Model stars

1EdvinssonDETA+2TavaresTORA+3KaneDETA+

Dec 28, 2025 · Little Caesars Arena

Goal horn off

TORMaple Leafs

2–3

FINAL OT

DETRed Wings

Shots

TOR27

Model stars

1EdvinssonDETA+2TavaresTORA+3KaneDETA+

Shots

DET36

Dec 28, 2025 · Little Caesars Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TOR46.3%DET53.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TOR dominated

TOR created 1.26 more power-play xG.

TOR

1.59xGDET

0.34xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · DET better

DET gained the goalie advantage.

TOR

+0.5GSAxDET

+1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · DET closer

DET are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TOR

-0.99G−xGDET

-0.47G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TOR dominated

TOR

1.59xGDET

0.34xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · DET better

TOR

+0.5GSAxDET

+1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · DET closer

TOR

-0.99G−xGDET

-0.47G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TOR

DET

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TOR

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

DET

Scrub game time · 61:46

DET 3-2 TOR

End of Game

61:46

3v3

TOR

0.0%

DET

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 3v3.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TOR had the longest sustained stretch from 9:45 P2 to 8:15 P2, while TOR's best response came from 15:45 P2 to 14:35 P2.

DET pressureTOR pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 3:15 OT

3:15 OT≈ roughly even

DET

Pressure

1.70

2 shots · 0.24 xG

TOR

Pressure

1.12

2 shots · 0.15 xG

High-danger chances: DET 0 · TOR 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.2xG1.1

2.9xG0.9

0.9xG2.4

0.1xG0.6

TOR at DET

Game ControlChance share: TOR 46.3%, DET 53.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Simon Edvinsson (DET), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure