Sabres 4, Stars 1 — Dec 31, 2025

BUFSabres

4–1

FINAL

DALStars

Shots31BUF

Shots29DAL

Model stars

1ByramBUFA+2BourqueDALA+3ThompsonBUFA+

Dec 31, 2025 · American Airlines Center

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

4–1

FINAL P3

DALStars

Shots

BUF31

Model stars

1ByramBUFA+2BourqueDALA+3ThompsonBUFA+

Shots

DAL29

Dec 31, 2025 · American Airlines Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF45.2%DAL54.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF created 0.38 more power-play xG.

BUF

0.62xGDAL

0.25xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

+2.6GSAxDAL

-1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

+1.04G−xGDAL

-2.59G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF

0.62xGDAL

0.25xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

BUF

+2.6GSAxDAL

-1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF

+1.04G−xGDAL

-2.59G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

DAL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

DAL

Scrub game time · 60:00

DAL 1-4 BUF

End of Game

60:00

5v5

BUF

100.0%

DAL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 14:00 P1 to 12:50 P1, while DAL's best response came from 19:50 P1 to 19:05 P1.

DAL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

DAL

Pressure

0.61

2 shots · 0.09 xG

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: DAL 0 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

2.4xG1.3

1.1xG1.5

0.8xG1.6

BUF at DAL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 45.2%, DAL 54.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Bowen Byram (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure