Panthers 4, Sabres 3 — Jan 12, 2026

FLAPanthers

4–3

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots32FLA

Shots23BUF

Model stars

1ForslingFLAA+2ReinhartFLAA+3VerhaegheFLAA

Jan 12, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

FLAPanthers

4–3

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

FLA32

Model stars

1ForslingFLAA+2ReinhartFLAA+3VerhaegheFLAA

Shots

BUF23

Jan 12, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

FLA55.2%BUF44.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

FLA

0.13xGBUF

0.29xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

≈ roughly even

Goaltending has been roughly even.

FLA

-0.3GSAxBUF

-0.2GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · FLA higher

FLA are benefiting more from finishing luck.

FLA

+0.62G−xGBUF

+0.26G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

FLA

0.13xGBUF

0.29xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

≈ roughly even

FLA

-0.3GSAxBUF

-0.2GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · FLA higher

FLA

+0.62G−xGBUF

+0.26G−xG

−40+4

All situations

FLA

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

FLA

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 3-4 FLA

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

FLA

100.0%

BUF

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

BUF have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

FLA had the longest sustained stretch from 9:00 P3 to 7:25 P3, while BUF's best response came from 2:00 P2 to 0:50 P2.

BUF pressureFLA pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3BUF had the edge

BUF

Pressure

3.56

4 shots · 0.28 xG

FLA

Pressure

3.61

1 shot · 0.57 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · FLA 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.2xG0.7

1.0xG1.7

3.0xG1.2

FLA at BUF

Game ControlChance share: FLA 55.2%, BUF 44.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Gustav Forsling (FLA), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure