Lightning 2, Penguins 1 — Jan 13, 2026

TBLLightning

2–1

FINAL

PITPenguins

Shots31TBL

Shots27PIT

Model stars

1RustPITA+2RakellPITA+3MalkinPITA+

Jan 13, 2026 · PPG Paints Arena

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

2–1

FINAL SO

PITPenguins

Shots

TBL31

Model stars

1RustPITA+2RakellPITA+3MalkinPITA+

Shots

PIT27

Jan 13, 2026 · PPG Paints Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL41.6%PIT58.4%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

PIT had the edge

PIT created 0.60 more power-play xG.

TBL

0.95xGPIT

1.55xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TBL better

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+3.4GSAxPIT

+2.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

-1.12G−xGPIT

-3.38G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

PIT had the edge

TBL

0.95xGPIT

1.55xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TBL better

TBL

+3.4GSAxPIT

+2.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL

-1.12G−xGPIT

-3.38G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

PIT

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

PIT

Scrub game time · 65:00

PIT 1-1 TBL

End of Game

65:00

3v3

TBL

100.0%

PIT

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 3v3.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 12:40 P1 to 10:35 P1, while TBL's best response came from 9:30 P2 to 7:35 P2.

PIT pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 OT

0:00 OT≈ roughly even

PIT

Pressure

0.82

1 shot · 0.11 xG

TBL

Pressure

2.40

1 shot · 0.38 xG

High-danger chances: PIT 0 · TBL 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.1xG1.4

1.9xG1.4

1.3xG1.0

0.5xG1.3

TBL at PIT

Game ControlChance share: TBL 41.6%, PIT 58.4%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Bryan Rust (PIT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure