Wild 5, Sabres 4 — Jan 17, 2026

MINWild

5–4

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots36MIN

Shots24BUF

Model stars

1KaprizovMINA+2TarasenkoMINA+3HartmanMINA+

Jan 17, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

MINWild

5–4

FINAL OT

BUFSabres

Shots

MIN36

Model stars

1KaprizovMINA+2TarasenkoMINA+3HartmanMINA+

Shots

BUF24

Jan 17, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

MIN59.5%BUF40.5%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

MIN had the edge

MIN created 0.62 more power-play xG.

MIN

1.85xGBUF

1.23xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · BUF better

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

MIN

-0.9GSAxBUF

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

MIN

+0.44G−xGBUF

+0.90G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

MIN had the edge

MIN

1.85xGBUF

1.23xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · BUF better

MIN

-0.9GSAxBUF

-0.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

MIN

+0.44G−xGBUF

+0.90G−xG

−40+4

All situations

MIN

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

MIN

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 61:46

BUF 4-5 MIN

End of Game

61:46

3v4 · PP

MIN

100.0%

BUF

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

MIN are on the power play at 3v4.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

MIN had the longest sustained stretch from 15:00 P2 to 12:25 P2, while BUF's best response came from 3:10 P1 to 1:55 P1.

BUF pressureMIN pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 3:15 OT

3:15 OTMIN had the edge

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

MIN

Pressure

1.65

3 shots · 0.42 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · MIN 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.6xG2.1

2.5xG1.1

1.7xG1.1

0.7xG0.0

MIN at BUF

Game ControlChance share: MIN 59.5%, BUF 40.5%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Kirill Kaprizov (MIN), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure