Lightning 4, Stars 1 — Jan 18, 2026

TBLLightning

4–1

FINAL

DALStars

Shots26TBL

Shots20DAL

Model stars

1JamesTBLA+2GuentzelTBLA+3LundkvistDALA+

Jan 18, 2026 · American Airlines Center

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

4–1

FINAL P3

DALStars

Shots

TBL26

Model stars

1JamesTBLA+2GuentzelTBLA+3LundkvistDALA+

Shots

DAL20

Jan 18, 2026 · American Airlines Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL66.6%DAL33.4%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

TBL

0.40xGDAL

0.52xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

TBL had the edge

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+1.2GSAxDAL

+0.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

-0.36G−xGDAL

-1.18G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

TBL

0.40xGDAL

0.52xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

TBL had the edge

TBL

+1.2GSAxDAL

+0.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL

-0.36G−xGDAL

-1.18G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

DAL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

DAL

Scrub game time · 60:00

DAL 1-4 TBL

End of Game

60:00

5v5

TBL

100.0%

DAL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 3:35 P3 to 1:25 P3, while TBL's best response came from 9:10 P2 to 8:20 P2.

DAL pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

DAL

Pressure

0.21

1 shot · 0.00 xG

TBL

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: DAL 0 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.7xG1.3

2.9xG1.3

3.9xG0.8

TBL at DAL

Game ControlChance share: TBL 66.6%, DAL 33.4%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Dominic James (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure