BUF at CAR
BUFSabres
1–2
FINAL
P3CARHurricanes
Shots18BUF
Shots29CAR
Model stars
1PowerBUFA+2SvechnikovCARA3LuukkonenBUFA
Jan 19, 2026 · Lenovo Center
Goal horn off
BUFSabres
1–2
FINAL P3
CARHurricanes
Shots
BUF18
Model stars
1PowerBUFA+2SvechnikovCARA3LuukkonenBUFA
Shots
CAR29
Jan 19, 2026 · Lenovo Center
Goal horn off
BUF40.0%CAR60.0%
Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Unavailable in this filter.
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special Teams Edge
≈ roughly even
Special Teams Edge
≈ roughly even
Power-play chance quality was roughly even.
BUF
0.22xGCAR
0.38xG
01.252.5
Goaltending Edge
Both above expected · CAR better
Goaltending Edge
Both above expected · CAR better
CAR gained the goalie advantage.
BUF
+1.1GSAxCAR
+1.5GSAx
−40+4
Finishing Luck
Both below expected · BUF closer
Finishing Luck
Both below expected · BUF closer
Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.
BUF
-1.46G−xGCAR
-1.69G−xG
−40+4
Even-strength edge
≈ roughly even
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special teams edge
≈ roughly even
BUF
0.22xGCAR
0.38xG
01.252.5
Goaltending edge
Both above expected · CAR better
BUF
+1.1GSAxCAR
+1.5GSAx
−40+4
Finishing luck
Both below expected · BUF closer
BUF
-1.46G−xGCAR
-1.69G−xG
−40+4
All situations
BUFCAR
Period:
Chances:
View:
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Win probability
Team:
BUF
0.0% WP
100.0% WP
CARCAR 2-1 BUF
End of Game
60:00
5v6 · ENBUF
0.0%
CAR
100.0%
Event impact
Unavailable for this event
BUF have the extra attacker at 5v6.
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Analyst details
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Analyst details
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Game summary
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