Sabres 4, Canadiens 2 — Jan 22, 2026

BUFSabres

4–2

FINAL

MTLCanadiens

Shots17BUF

Shots34MTL

Model stars

1MathesonMTLA+2HeleniusBUFA+3BolducMTLA+

Jan 22, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

4–2

FINAL P3

MTLCanadiens

Shots

BUF17

Model stars

1MathesonMTLA+2HeleniusBUFA+3BolducMTLA+

Shots

MTL34

Jan 22, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF49.9%MTL50.1%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

BUF

0.19xGMTL

0.39xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

+1.1GSAxMTL

-0.8GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

+0.92G−xGMTL

-1.09G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

BUF

0.19xGMTL

0.39xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

BUF

+1.1GSAxMTL

-0.8GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF

+0.92G−xGMTL

-1.09G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

MTL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

MTL

Scrub game time · 60:00

MTL 2-4 BUF

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

BUF

100.0%

MTL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

MTL have the extra attacker at 6v5.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

MTL had the clearest sustained push from 8:50 P2 to 7:20 P2.

MTL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3BUF dominated

MTL

Pressure

1.16

4 shots · 0.14 xG

BUF

Pressure

5.60

2 shots · 0.92 xG

High-danger chances: MTL 0 · BUF 2. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.7xG1.0

1.0xG2.5

1.7xG1.0

BUF at MTL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 49.9%, MTL 50.1%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Mike Matheson (MTL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure