Sabres 3, Lightning 4 — Feb 3, 2026

BUFSabres

3–4

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots26BUF

Shots35TBL

Model stars

1KucherovTBLA+2RaddyshTBLA+3DahlinBUFA+

Feb 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

3–4

FINAL OT

TBLLightning

Shots

BUF26

Model stars

1KucherovTBLA+2RaddyshTBLA+3DahlinBUFA+

Shots

TBL35

Feb 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF41.3%TBL58.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF had the edge

BUF created 1.17 more power-play xG.

BUF

1.88xGTBL

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

≈ roughly even

Goaltending has been roughly even.

BUF

-0.2GSAxTBL

-0.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.

BUF

+0.32G−xGTBL

+0.20G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF had the edge

BUF

1.88xGTBL

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

≈ roughly even

BUF

-0.2GSAxTBL

-0.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF

+0.32G−xGTBL

+0.20G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

Loading shot map...

Win probability

Team:

BUF

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 64:45

TBL 4-3 BUF

End of Game

64:45

3v3

BUF

0.0%

TBL

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 3v3.

Loading goaltenders…

Loading players…

Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 12:10 P3 to 10:15 P3, while BUF's best response came from 6:00 P3 to 4:20 P3.

TBL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:15 OT

0:15 OT≈ roughly even

TBL

Pressure

3.40

2 shots · 0.40 xG

BUF

Pressure

1.54

2 shots · 0.17 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 1 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.4xG1.4

0.7xG1.0

1.2xG1.7

0.5xG0.6

BUF at TBL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 41.3%, TBL 58.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Nikita Kucherov (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure