Maple Leafs 2, Lightning 4 — Feb 25, 2026

TORMaple Leafs

2–4

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots34TOR

Shots36TBL

Model stars

1PointTBLA+2KucherovTBLA+3D'AstousTBLA+

Feb 25, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

TORMaple Leafs

2–4

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

TOR34

Model stars

1PointTBLA+2KucherovTBLA+3D'AstousTBLA+

Shots

TBL36

Feb 25, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TOR35.2%TBL64.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL dominated

TBL created 1.35 more power-play xG.

TOR

0.94xGTBL

2.29xG

01.53

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TOR better

TOR gained the goalie advantage.

TOR

+2.1GSAxTBL

+1.6GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TOR

-1.64G−xGTBL

-2.71G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL dominated

TOR

0.94xGTBL

2.29xG

01.53

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TOR better

TOR

+2.1GSAxTBL

+1.6GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

TOR

-1.64G−xGTBL

-2.71G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TOR

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

Loading shot map...

Win probability

Team:

TOR

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 4-2 TOR

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

TOR

0.0%

TBL

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TOR have the extra attacker at 5v6.

Loading goaltenders…

Loading players…

Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 12:00 P2 to 10:40 P2, while TBL's best response came from 13:00 P3 to 11:40 P3.

TBL pressureTOR pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TOR had the edge

TBL

Pressure

2.35

1 shot · 0.50 xG

TOR

Pressure

4.36

4 shots · 0.41 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 1 · TOR 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.1xG1.9

1.8xG3.1

1.4xG3.8

TOR at TBL

Game ControlChance share: TOR 35.2%, TBL 64.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Brayden Point (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure