TBL at CAR
TBLLightning
4–5
FINAL
P3CARHurricanes
Shots28TBL
Shots33CAR
Model stars
1GuentzelTBLA+2McDonaghTBLA+3JamesTBLA+
Feb 26, 2026 · Lenovo Center
Goal horn off
TBLLightning
4–5
FINAL P3
CARHurricanes
Shots
TBL28
Model stars
1GuentzelTBLA+2McDonaghTBLA+3JamesTBLA+
Shots
CAR33
Feb 26, 2026 · Lenovo Center
Goal horn off
TBL53.8%CAR46.2%
Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Unavailable in this filter.
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special Teams Edge
TBL held a slight edge
Special Teams Edge
TBL held a slight edge
TBL created 0.30 more power-play xG.
TBL
0.84xGCAR
0.54xG
01.252.5
Goaltending Edge
Both below expected · CAR better
Goaltending Edge
Both below expected · CAR better
CAR gained the goalie advantage.
TBL
-2.6GSAxCAR
-0.3GSAx
−40+4
Finishing Luck
Both above expected · CAR higher
Finishing Luck
Both above expected · CAR higher
CAR are benefiting more from finishing luck.
TBL
+0.29G−xGCAR
+1.81G−xG
−40+4
Even-strength edge
≈ roughly even
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special teams edge
TBL held a slight edge
TBL
0.84xGCAR
0.54xG
01.252.5
Goaltending edge
Both below expected · CAR better
TBL
-2.6GSAxCAR
-0.3GSAx
−40+4
Finishing luck
Both above expected · CAR higher
TBL
+0.29G−xGCAR
+1.81G−xG
−40+4
All situations
TBLCAR
Period:
Chances:
View:
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Win probability
Team:
TBL
0.0% WP
100.0% WP
CARCAR 5-4 TBL
End of Game
60:00
5v6 · ENTBL
0.0%
CAR
100.0%
Event impact
Unavailable for this event
TBL have the extra attacker at 5v6.
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Analyst details
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Analyst details
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Game summary
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