Sabres 3, Panthers 2 — Feb 27, 2026

BUFSabres

3–2

FINAL

FLAPanthers

Shots39BUF

Shots29FLA

Model stars

1MarchandFLAA+2TkachukFLAA+3BalinskisFLAA+

Feb 27, 2026 · Amerant Bank Arena

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

3–2

FINAL P3

FLAPanthers

Shots

BUF39

Model stars

1MarchandFLAA+2TkachukFLAA+3BalinskisFLAA+

Shots

FLA29

Feb 27, 2026 · Amerant Bank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF50.2%FLA49.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

FLA dominated

FLA created 1.76 more power-play xG.

BUF

0.87xGFLA

2.63xG

01.53

Goaltending Edge

≈ roughly even

Goaltending edge unavailable.

BUF

–GSAxFLA

+1.2GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · BUF closer

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

-0.99G−xGFLA

-1.96G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

FLA dominated

BUF

0.87xGFLA

2.63xG

01.53

Goaltending edge

≈ roughly even

BUF

–GSAxFLA

+1.2GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · BUF closer

BUF

-0.99G−xGFLA

-1.96G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

FLA

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

FLA

Scrub game time · 60:00

FLA 2-3 BUF

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

BUF

100.0%

FLA

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

FLA have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 2:15 P2 to 0:40 P2, while FLA's best response came from 17:25 P1 to 16:00 P1.

FLA pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3FLA had the edge

FLA

Pressure

3.44

2 shots · 0.27 xG

BUF

Pressure

1.77

1 shot · 0.19 xG

High-danger chances: FLA 1 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.6xG2.2

2.2xG1.6

1.8xG1.5

BUF at FLA

Game ControlChance share: BUF 50.2%, FLA 49.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Brad Marchand (FLA), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure