Senators 5, Maple Leafs 2 — Feb 28, 2026

OTTSenators

5–2

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots40OTT

Shots23TOR

Model stars

1ChabotOTTA+2CozensOTTA+3TkachukOTTA+

Feb 28, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

OTTSenators

5–2

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

OTT40

Model stars

1ChabotOTTA+2CozensOTTA+3TkachukOTTA+

Shots

TOR23

Feb 28, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

OTT62.1%TOR37.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

OTT had the edge

OTT created 0.97 more power-play xG.

OTT

1.23xGTOR

0.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

OTT above expected

OTT gained the goalie advantage.

OTT

+0.7GSAxTOR

-0.7GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

OTT finished above expected

OTT are benefiting more from finishing luck.

OTT

+0.65G−xGTOR

-0.65G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

OTT had the edge

OTT

1.23xGTOR

0.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

OTT above expected

OTT

+0.7GSAxTOR

-0.7GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

OTT finished above expected

OTT

+0.65G−xGTOR

-0.65G−xG

−40+4

All situations

OTT

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

OTT

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 2-5 OTT

End of Game

60:00

5v5

OTT

100.0%

TOR

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

OTT had the longest sustained stretch from 8:45 P1 to 7:30 P1, while TOR's best response came from 6:05 P2 to 5:00 P2.

TOR pressureOTT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

TOR

Pressure

0.81

1 shot · 0.10 xG

OTT

Pressure

1.64

3 shots · 0.28 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 0 · OTT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

2.1xG0.2

2.1xG2.0

1.7xG0.8

OTT at TOR

Game ControlChance share: OTT 62.1%, TOR 37.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Thomas Chabot (OTT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure