Sabres 6, Lightning 2 — Feb 28, 2026

BUFSabres

6–2

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots35BUF

Shots38TBL

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2MetsaBUFA+3PowerBUFA+

Feb 28, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

6–2

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

BUF35

Model stars

1DahlinBUFA+2MetsaBUFA+3PowerBUFA+

Shots

TBL38

Feb 28, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF59.2%TBL40.8%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF created 0.55 more power-play xG.

BUF

1.31xGTBL

0.76xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

+1.2GSAxTBL

-1.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

+1.31G−xGTBL

-1.23G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF

1.31xGTBL

0.76xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

BUF

+1.2GSAxTBL

-1.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF

+1.31G−xGTBL

-1.23G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 2-6 BUF

End of Game

60:00

5v5

BUF

100.0%

TBL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 4:25 P2 to 2:50 P2, while BUF's best response came from 15:05 P1 to 14:20 P1.

TBL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

TBL

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 0 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

2.1xG1.7

2.3xG1.7

0.7xG1.2

BUF at TBL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 59.2%, TBL 40.8%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Rasmus Dahlin (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure