Golden Knights 2, Sabres 3 — Mar 3, 2026

VGKGolden Knights

2–3

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots29VGK

Shots28BUF

Model stars

1KesselringBUFA+2ZuckerBUFA+3QuinnBUFA+

Mar 3, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

VGKGolden Knights

2–3

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

VGK29

Model stars

1KesselringBUFA+2ZuckerBUFA+3QuinnBUFA+

Shots

BUF28

Mar 3, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

VGK52.4%BUF47.6%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

VGK had the edge

VGK created 0.72 more power-play xG.

VGK

0.92xGBUF

0.19xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · BUF better

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

VGK

+0.3GSAxBUF

+2.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · BUF closer

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

VGK

-2.33G−xGBUF

-0.94G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

VGK had the edge

VGK

0.92xGBUF

0.19xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · BUF better

VGK

+0.3GSAxBUF

+2.3GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · BUF closer

VGK

-2.33G−xGBUF

-0.94G−xG

−40+4

All situations

VGK

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

VGK

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 3-2 VGK

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

VGK

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

VGK have the extra attacker at 5v6.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

VGK had the longest sustained stretch from 13:20 P2 to 12:10 P2, while VGK's best response came from 11:45 P1 to 10:45 P1.

BUF pressureVGK pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3BUF held a slight edge

BUF

Pressure

2.60

1 shot · 0.60 xG

VGK

Pressure

1.20

3 shots · 0.24 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 1 · VGK 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.9xG1.3

2.1xG2.0

1.1xG1.5

VGK at BUF

Game ControlChance share: VGK 52.4%, BUF 47.6%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Michael Kesselring (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure