Maple Leafs 4, Wild 2 — Mar 15, 2026

TORMaple Leafs

4–2

FINAL

MINWild

Shots26TOR

Shots38MIN

Model stars

1TarasenkoMINA+2HartmanMINA+3ZuccarelloMINA+

Mar 15, 2026 · Grand Casino Arena

Goal horn off

TORMaple Leafs

4–2

FINAL P3

MINWild

Shots

TOR26

Model stars

1TarasenkoMINA+2HartmanMINA+3ZuccarelloMINA+

Shots

MIN38

Mar 15, 2026 · Grand Casino Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

TOR36.7%MIN63.3%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

TOR

0.87xGMIN

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

TOR above expected

TOR gained the goalie advantage.

TOR

+2.1GSAxMIN

-1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

TOR finished above expected

TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TOR

+1.28G−xGMIN

-2.69G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

TOR

0.87xGMIN

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

TOR above expected

TOR

+2.1GSAxMIN

-1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

TOR finished above expected

TOR

+1.28G−xGMIN

-2.69G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TOR

MIN

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TOR

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

MIN

Scrub game time · 60:00

MIN 2-4 TOR

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

TOR

100.0%

MIN

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

MIN have the extra attacker at 6v5.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

MIN had the longest sustained stretch from 4:20 P3 to 2:35 P3, while MIN's best response came from 15:10 P3 to 13:50 P3.

MIN pressureTOR pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TOR had the edge

MIN

Pressure

1.73

4 shots · 0.37 xG

TOR

Pressure

4.09

1 shot · 0.76 xG

High-danger chances: MIN 0 · TOR 1. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.9xG2.3

1.7xG1.4

1.2xG4.8

TOR at MIN

Game ControlChance share: TOR 36.7%, MIN 63.3%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure