Islanders 3, Maple Leafs 1 — Mar 17, 2026

NYIIslanders

3–1

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots34NYI

Shots27TOR

Model stars

1BarzalNYIA+2HeinemanNYIA+3HorvatNYIA+

Mar 17, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

NYIIslanders

3–1

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

NYI34

Model stars

1BarzalNYIA+2HeinemanNYIA+3HorvatNYIA+

Shots

TOR27

Mar 17, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

NYI56.8%TOR43.2%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

NYI dominated

NYI created 1.34 more power-play xG.

NYI

1.92xGTOR

0.59xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · NYI better

NYI gained the goalie advantage.

NYI

+2.0GSAxTOR

+1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · NYI closer

NYI are benefiting more from finishing luck.

NYI

-0.99G−xGTOR

-2.03G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

NYI dominated

NYI

1.92xGTOR

0.59xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · NYI better

NYI

+2.0GSAxTOR

+1.0GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · NYI closer

NYI

-0.99G−xGTOR

-2.03G−xG

−40+4

All situations

NYI

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

NYI

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 1-3 NYI

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

NYI

100.0%

TOR

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TOR have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

NYI had the longest sustained stretch from 4:15 P3 to 2:55 P3, while NYI's best response came from 2:30 P3 to 1:10 P3.

TOR pressureNYI pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TOR dominated

TOR

Pressure

6.29

5 shots · 0.86 xG

NYI

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 1 · NYI 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.7xG1.3

1.6xG1.1

2.0xG1.3

NYI at TOR

Game ControlChance share: NYI 56.8%, TOR 43.2%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Mathew Barzal (NYI), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure