Lightning 2, Sabres 4 — Apr 6, 2026

TBLLightning

2–4

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots25TBL

Shots30BUF

Model stars

1TuchBUFA+2ByramBUFA+3PointTBLA+

Apr 6, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

2–4

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

TBL25

Model stars

1TuchBUFA+2ByramBUFA+3PointTBLA+

Shots

BUF30

Apr 6, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL43.5%BUF56.5%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF held a slight edge

BUF created 0.50 more power-play xG.

TBL

0.89xGBUF

1.38xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF had the edge

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

+0.2GSAxBUF

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF had the edge

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

-1.06G−xGBUF

+0.03G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF held a slight edge

TBL

0.89xGBUF

1.38xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF had the edge

TBL

+0.2GSAxBUF

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF had the edge

TBL

-1.06G−xGBUF

+0.03G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 4-2 TBL

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

TBL

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TBL have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 0:15 P1 to 18:05 P2, while BUF's best response came from 12:20 P1 to 10:50 P1.

BUF pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TBL dominated

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

TBL

Pressure

1.09

3 shots · 0.20 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG2.0

1.3xG1.7

1.7xG1.2

TBL at BUF

Game ControlChance share: TBL 43.5%, BUF 56.5%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Alex Tuch (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure