Lightning 3, Canadiens 2 — Apr 26, 2026

TBLLightning

3–2

FINAL

MTLCanadiens

Shots20TBL

Shots18MTL

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2GuentzelTBLA+3CaufieldMTLA

Apr 26, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

3–2

FINAL P3

MTLCanadiens

Shots

TBL20

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2GuentzelTBLA+3CaufieldMTLA

Shots

MTL18

Apr 26, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL57.9%MTL42.1%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL held a slight edge

TBL created 0.42 more power-play xG.

TBL

3.04xGMTL

2.62xG

024

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · MTL better

Goaltending has been roughly even.

TBL

+1.0GSAxMTL

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · MTL closer

Finishing variance has affected both teams similarly.

TBL

-1.13G−xGMTL

-1.00G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL held a slight edge

TBL

3.04xGMTL

2.62xG

024

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · MTL better

TBL

+1.0GSAxMTL

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · MTL closer

TBL

-1.13G−xGMTL

-1.00G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

MTL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

MTL

Scrub game time · 60:00

MTL 2-3 TBL

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

TBL

100.0%

MTL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

MTL have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

MTL had the longest sustained stretch from 12:25 P1 to 8:35 P1, while TBL's best response came from 8:40 P2 to 7:00 P2.

MTL pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3MTL had the edge

MTL

Pressure

2.90

7 shots · 0.46 xG

TBL

Pressure

0.66

1 shot · 0.18 xG

High-danger chances: MTL 0 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.9xG2.0

2.4xG1.2

1.5xG1.2

TBL at MTL

Game ControlChance share: TBL 57.9%, MTL 42.1%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Jake Guentzel (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure