Canadiens 2, Lightning 1 — May 3, 2026

MTLCanadiens

2–1

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots9MTL

Shots29TBL

Model stars

1DobesMTLA2JamesTBLA+3GoncalvesTBLA-

May 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

MTLCanadiens

2–1

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

MTL9

Model stars

1DobesMTLA2JamesTBLA+3GoncalvesTBLA-

Shots

TBL29

May 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

MTL23.4%TBL76.6%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL held a slight edge

TBL created 0.35 more power-play xG.

MTL

0.17xGTBL

0.52xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

MTL above expected

MTL gained the goalie advantage.

MTL

+2.1GSAxTBL

-1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

MTL finished above expected

MTL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

MTL

+1.07G−xGTBL

-2.06G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL held a slight edge

MTL

0.17xGTBL

0.52xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

MTL above expected

MTL

+2.1GSAxTBL

-1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

MTL finished above expected

MTL

+1.07G−xGTBL

-2.06G−xG

−40+4

All situations

MTL

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

MTL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 1-2 MTL

End of Game

60:00

6v4 · EN

MTL

100.0%

TBL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TBL have the extra attacker at 6v4.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 9:20 P1 to 8:00 P1, while MTL's best response came from 10:40 P3 to 9:35 P3.

TBL pressureMTL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3MTL dominated

TBL

Pressure

0.96

2 shots · 0.09 xG

MTL

Pressure

4.90

2 shots · 1.08 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 0 · MTL 2. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.9xG1.5

0.3xG1.9

2.3xG1.3

MTL at TBL

Game ControlChance share: MTL 23.4%, TBL 76.6%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Dominic James (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure