Canadiens 2, Sabres 4 — May 6, 2026

MTLCanadiens

2–4

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots28MTL

Shots16BUF

Model stars

1SuzukiMTLA+2DoanBUFA+3McLeodBUFA+

May 6, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

MTLCanadiens

2–4

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

MTL28

Model stars

1SuzukiMTLA+2DoanBUFA+3McLeodBUFA+

Shots

BUF16

May 6, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

MTL54.3%BUF45.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

MTL held a slight edge

MTL created 0.36 more power-play xG.

MTL

1.08xGBUF

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

MTL

-1.4GSAxBUF

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

MTL

-1.12G−xGBUF

+1.38G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

MTL held a slight edge

MTL

1.08xGBUF

0.71xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

MTL

-1.4GSAxBUF

+1.1GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

MTL

-1.12G−xGBUF

+1.38G−xG

−40+4

All situations

MTL

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

MTL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 4-2 MTL

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

MTL

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

MTL have the extra attacker at 5v6.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

MTL had the longest sustained stretch from 3:05 P3 to 1:25 P3, while BUF's best response came from 5:30 P2 to 4:25 P2.

BUF pressureMTL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3MTL held a slight edge

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

MTL

Pressure

1.36

3 shots · 0.30 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · MTL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.8xG1.7

0.9xG1.8

1.9xG0.8

MTL at BUF

Game ControlChance share: MTL 54.3%, BUF 45.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Nick Suzuki (MTL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure