Sabres 8, Canadiens 3 — May 16, 2026

BUFSabres

8–3

FINAL

MTLCanadiens

Shots36BUF

Shots22MTL

Model stars

1LuukkonenBUFA2ThompsonBUFA+3BensonBUFA+

May 16, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

BUFSabres

8–3

FINAL P3

MTLCanadiens

Shots

BUF36

Model stars

1LuukkonenBUFA2ThompsonBUFA+3BensonBUFA+

Shots

MTL22

May 16, 2026 · Centre Bell

Goal horn off

Situation:

BUF65.5%MTL34.5%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

BUF had the edge

BUF created 0.80 more power-play xG.

BUF

1.80xGMTL

1.00xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · BUF better

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

BUF

-0.3GSAxMTL

-2.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

BUF

+2.96G−xGMTL

+0.35G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

BUF had the edge

BUF

1.80xGMTL

1.00xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · BUF better

BUF

-0.3GSAxMTL

-2.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both above expected · BUF higher

BUF

+2.96G−xGMTL

+0.35G−xG

−40+4

All situations

BUF

MTL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

BUF

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

MTL

Scrub game time · 60:00

MTL 3-8 BUF

End of Game

60:00

5v5

BUF

100.0%

MTL

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

BUF had the longest sustained stretch from 19:10 P2 to 17:40 P2, while BUF's best response came from 14:25 P2 to 13:15 P2.

MTL pressureBUF pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

MTL

Pressure

0.72

1 shot · 0.07 xG

BUF

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: MTL 0 · BUF 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

2.1xG1.1

2.6xG1.6

1.4xG1.5

BUF at MTL

Game ControlChance share: BUF 65.5%, MTL 34.5%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Tage Thompson (BUF), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure