MTL at TOR
MTLCanadiens
3–2
FINAL
P3TORMaple Leafs
Shots24MTL
Shots28TOR
Model stars
1AndersonMTLA+2CarrierMTLA+3MathesonMTLA+
Sep 29, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena
Goal horn off
MTLCanadiens
3–2
FINAL P3
TORMaple Leafs
Shots
MTL24
Model stars
1AndersonMTLA+2CarrierMTLA+3MathesonMTLA+
Shots
TOR28
Sep 29, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena
Goal horn off
MTL60.2%TOR39.8%
Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Even-Strength Edge
≈ roughly even
Unavailable in this filter.
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special Teams Edge
≈ roughly even
Special Teams Edge
≈ roughly even
Power-play chance quality was roughly even.
MTL
0.43xGTOR
0.59xG
01.252.5
Goaltending Edge
MTL above expected
Goaltending Edge
MTL above expected
MTL gained the goalie advantage.
MTL
+0.7GSAxTOR
-0.8GSAx
−40+4
Finishing Luck
Both below expected · TOR closer
Finishing Luck
Both below expected · TOR closer
TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.
MTL
-1.11G−xGTOR
-0.71G−xG
−40+4
Even-strength edge
≈ roughly even
Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.
Special teams edge
≈ roughly even
MTL
0.43xGTOR
0.59xG
01.252.5
Goaltending edge
MTL above expected
MTL
+0.7GSAxTOR
-0.8GSAx
−40+4
Finishing luck
Both below expected · TOR closer
MTL
-1.11G−xGTOR
-0.71G−xG
−40+4
All situations
MTLTOR
Period:
Chances:
View:
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Win probability
Team:
MTL
100.0% WP
0.0% WP
TORTOR 2-3 MTL
End of Game
60:00
6v5 · ENMTL
100.0%
TOR
0.0%
Event impact
Unavailable for this event
TOR have the extra attacker at 6v5.
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Analyst details
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Analyst details
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Game summary
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