Lightning 1, Rangers 5 — Oct 1, 2026

TBLLightning

1–5

FINAL

NYRRangers

Shots24TBL

Shots25NYR

Model stars

1DorofeyevNYRA+2FoxNYRA+3ZibanejadNYRA+

Oct 1, 2026 · Madison Square Garden

Goal horn off

TBLLightning

1–5

FINAL P3

NYRRangers

Shots

TBL24

Model stars

1DorofeyevNYRA+2FoxNYRA+3ZibanejadNYRA+

Shots

NYR25

Oct 1, 2026 · Madison Square Garden

Goal horn off

Situation:

TBL34.7%NYR65.3%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL had the edge

TBL created 0.61 more power-play xG.

TBL

0.87xGNYR

0.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

NYR above expected

NYR gained the goalie advantage.

TBL

-1.5GSAxNYR

+1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

NYR finished above expected

NYR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

TBL

-1.39G−xGNYR

+0.51G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL had the edge

TBL

0.87xGNYR

0.26xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

NYR above expected

TBL

-1.5GSAxNYR

+1.4GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

NYR finished above expected

TBL

-1.39G−xGNYR

+0.51G−xG

−40+4

All situations

TBL

NYR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

TBL

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

NYR

Scrub game time · 60:00

NYR 5-1 TBL

End of Game

60:00

4v5 · PP

TBL

0.0%

NYR

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TBL are on the power play at 4v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 17:55 P2 to 16:40 P2, while NYR's best response came from 2:35 P3 to 1:20 P3.

NYR pressureTBL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3TBL had the edge

NYR

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

TBL

Pressure

1.04

2 shots · 0.12 xG

High-danger chances: NYR 0 · TBL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG0.6

0.9xG1.4

1.0xG2.6

TBL at NYR

Game ControlChance share: TBL 34.7%, NYR 65.3%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Pavel Dorofeyev (NYR), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure