Senators 3, Maple Leafs 2 — Oct 3, 2026

OTTSenators

3–2

FINAL

TORMaple Leafs

Shots29OTT

Shots29TOR

Model stars

1EklundOTTA+2HallidayOTTA+3ChabotOTTA+

Oct 3, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

OTTSenators

3–2

FINAL P3

TORMaple Leafs

Shots

OTT29

Model stars

1EklundOTTA+2HallidayOTTA+3ChabotOTTA+

Shots

TOR29

Oct 3, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

OTT59.8%TOR40.2%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

OTT held a slight edge

OTT created 0.52 more power-play xG.

OTT

1.29xGTOR

0.77xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TOR better

TOR gained the goalie advantage.

OTT

+1.1GSAxTOR

+1.7GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

TOR are benefiting more from finishing luck.

OTT

-1.66G−xGTOR

-1.13G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

OTT held a slight edge

OTT

1.29xGTOR

0.77xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TOR better

OTT

+1.1GSAxTOR

+1.7GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TOR closer

OTT

-1.66G−xGTOR

-1.13G−xG

−40+4

All situations

OTT

TOR

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

OTT

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

TOR

Scrub game time · 60:00

TOR 2-3 OTT

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

OTT

100.0%

TOR

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

TOR have the extra attacker at 6v5.

Loading goaltenders…

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TOR had the longest sustained stretch from 7:40 P1 to 6:20 P1, while OTT's best response came from 10:15 P3 to 8:55 P3.

TOR pressureOTT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

TOR

Pressure

0.20

1 shot · 0.00 xG

OTT

Pressure

0.20

1 shot · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: TOR 0 · OTT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.6xG0.9

1.0xG1.3

3.0xG1.0

OTT at TOR

Game ControlChance share: OTT 59.8%, TOR 40.2%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: William Eklund (OTT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure