Capitals 1, Lightning 3 — Oct 3, 2026

WSHCapitals

1–3

FINAL

TBLLightning

Shots21WSH

Shots30TBL

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2ChychrunWSHA3GeekieTBLA

Oct 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

WSHCapitals

1–3

FINAL P3

TBLLightning

Shots

WSH21

Model stars

1HagelTBLA+2ChychrunWSHA3GeekieTBLA

Shots

TBL30

Oct 3, 2026 · Benchmark International Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

WSH41.4%TBL58.6%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

TBL held a slight edge

TBL created 0.25 more power-play xG.

WSH

0.39xGTBL

0.64xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · TBL better

TBL gained the goalie advantage.

WSH

+0.9GSAxTBL

+1.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

TBL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

WSH

-1.51G−xGTBL

-0.56G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

TBL held a slight edge

WSH

0.39xGTBL

0.64xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · TBL better

WSH

+0.9GSAxTBL

+1.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · TBL closer

WSH

-1.51G−xGTBL

-0.56G−xG

−40+4

All situations

WSH

TBL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

WSH

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

TBL

Scrub game time · 60:00

TBL 3-1 WSH

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

WSH

0.0%

TBL

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WSH have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

TBL had the longest sustained stretch from 11:10 P1 to 9:45 P1, while WSH's best response came from 0:55 P3 to 0:00 P3.

TBL pressureWSH pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3WSH dominated

TBL

Pressure

0.58

1 shot · 0.15 xG

WSH

Pressure

7.45

10 shots · 0.90 xG

High-danger chances: TBL 0 · WSH 2. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.4xG1.3

0.7xG0.8

1.7xG1.4

WSH at TBL

Game ControlChance share: WSH 41.4%, TBL 58.6%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Brandon Hagel (TBL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure