Jets 3, Penguins 2 — Oct 5, 2026

WPGJets

3–2

FINAL

PITPenguins

Shots35WPG

Shots31PIT

Model stars

1CarlilePITA+2IafalloWPGA+3DeMeloWPGA+

Oct 5, 2026 · PPG Paints Arena

Goal horn off

WPGJets

3–2

FINAL P3

PITPenguins

Shots

WPG35

Model stars

1CarlilePITA+2IafalloWPGA+3DeMeloWPGA+

Shots

PIT31

Oct 5, 2026 · PPG Paints Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

WPG55.3%PIT44.7%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

WPG

0.05xGPIT

0.15xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

WPG above expected

WPG gained the goalie advantage.

WPG

+0.7GSAxPIT

-0.6GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · WPG closer

WPG are benefiting more from finishing luck.

WPG

-0.38G−xGPIT

-0.73G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

WPG

0.05xGPIT

0.15xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

WPG above expected

WPG

+0.7GSAxPIT

-0.6GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · WPG closer

WPG

-0.38G−xGPIT

-0.73G−xG

−40+4

All situations

WPG

PIT

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

WPG

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

PIT

Scrub game time · 60:00

PIT 2-3 WPG

End of Game

60:00

6v5 · EN

WPG

100.0%

PIT

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

PIT have the extra attacker at 6v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

WPG had the longest sustained stretch from 3:45 P1 to 2:20 P1, while PIT's best response came from 11:10 P2 to 9:50 P2.

PIT pressureWPG pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3WPG held a slight edge

PIT

Pressure

2.56

6 shots · 0.26 xG

WPG

Pressure

4.68

2 shots · 0.99 xG

High-danger chances: PIT 0 · WPG 2. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.0xG0.8

0.7xG1.0

1.7xG1.0

WPG at PIT

Game ControlChance share: WPG 55.3%, PIT 44.7%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Declan Carlile (PIT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure