Penguins 3, Capitals 5 — Oct 7, 2026

PITPenguins

3–5

FINAL

WSHCapitals

Shots30PIT

Shots27WSH

Model stars

1KorczakPITA+2DuboisWSHA+3WilsonWSHA+

Oct 7, 2026 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

PITPenguins

3–5

FINAL P3

WSHCapitals

Shots

PIT30

Model stars

1KorczakPITA+2DuboisWSHA+3WilsonWSHA+

Shots

WSH27

Oct 7, 2026 · Capital One Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

PIT51.5%WSH48.5%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

WSH held a slight edge

WSH created 0.40 more power-play xG.

PIT

0.65xGWSH

1.05xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

WSH above expected

WSH gained the goalie advantage.

PIT

-1.8GSAxWSH

+0.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

WSH finished above expected

WSH are benefiting more from finishing luck.

PIT

-0.45G−xGWSH

+1.75G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

WSH held a slight edge

PIT

0.65xGWSH

1.05xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

WSH above expected

PIT

-1.8GSAxWSH

+0.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

WSH finished above expected

PIT

-0.45G−xGWSH

+1.75G−xG

−40+4

All situations

PIT

WSH

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

PIT

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

WSH

Scrub game time · 60:00

WSH 5-3 PIT

End of Game

60:00

5v6 · EN

PIT

0.0%

WSH

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

PIT have the extra attacker at 5v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

PIT had the longest sustained stretch from 6:00 P2 to 4:25 P2, while PIT's best response came from 0:30 P2 to 19:05 P3.

WSH pressurePIT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

WSH

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

PIT

Pressure

0.40

2 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: WSH 0 · PIT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.2xG2.0

1.9xG0.8

1.3xG0.6

PIT at WSH

Game ControlChance share: PIT 51.5%, WSH 48.5%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Kaedan Korczak (PIT), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure