Avalanche 7, Flames 3 — Oct 8, 2026

COLAvalanche

7–3

FINAL

CGYFlames

Shots30COL

Shots29CGY

Model stars

1BacklundCGYA+2ToewsCOLA+3MakarCOLA+

Oct 8, 2026 · Scotiabank Saddledome

Goal horn off

COLAvalanche

7–3

FINAL P3

CGYFlames

Shots

COL30

Model stars

1BacklundCGYA+2ToewsCOLA+3MakarCOLA+

Shots

CGY29

Oct 8, 2026 · Scotiabank Saddledome

Goal horn off

Situation:

COL52.8%CGY47.2%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

COL

0.20xGCGY

0.10xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both below expected · COL better

COL gained the goalie advantage.

COL

-0.7GSAxCGY

-4.4GSAx

−50+5

Finishing Luck

Both above expected · COL higher

COL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

COL

+4.40G−xGCGY

+0.68G−xG

−50+5

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

COL

0.20xGCGY

0.10xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both below expected · COL better

COL

-0.7GSAxCGY

-4.4GSAx

−50+5

Finishing luck

Both above expected · COL higher

COL

+4.40G−xGCGY

+0.68G−xG

−50+5

All situations

COL

CGY

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

COL

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

CGY

Scrub game time · 60:00

CGY 3-7 COL

End of Game

60:00

5v5

COL

100.0%

CGY

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

COL had the longest sustained stretch from 8:45 P2 to 7:10 P2, while CGY's best response came from 14:40 P2 to 13:45 P2.

CGY pressureCOL pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

CGY

Pressure

0.52

2 shots · 0.05 xG

COL

Pressure

0.57

1 shot · 0.01 xG

High-danger chances: CGY 0 · COL 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.6xG0.9

1.0xG0.9

1.0xG0.5

COL at CGY

Game ControlChance share: COL 52.8%, CGY 47.2%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Mikael Backlund (CGY), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure