Mammoth 4, Sabres 1 — Oct 10, 2026

UTAMammoth

4–1

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots30UTA

Shots24BUF

Model stars

1MarinoUTAA+2LeeUTAA+3YamamotoUTAA+

Oct 10, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

UTAMammoth

4–1

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

UTA30

Model stars

1MarinoUTAA+2LeeUTAA+3YamamotoUTAA+

Shots

BUF24

Oct 10, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

UTA63.5%BUF36.5%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

≈ roughly even

Power-play chance quality was roughly even.

UTA

0.85xGBUF

0.87xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

Both above expected · UTA better

UTA gained the goalie advantage.

UTA

+1.7GSAxBUF

+0.8GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

Both below expected · UTA closer

UTA are benefiting more from finishing luck.

UTA

-0.76G−xGBUF

-1.74G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

≈ roughly even

UTA

0.85xGBUF

0.87xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

Both above expected · UTA better

UTA

+1.7GSAxBUF

+0.8GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

Both below expected · UTA closer

UTA

-0.76G−xGBUF

-1.74G−xG

−40+4

All situations

UTA

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

UTA

100.0% WP

0.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 1-4 UTA

End of Game

60:00

5v5

UTA

100.0%

BUF

0.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

UTA had the longest sustained stretch from 9:55 P1 to 8:30 P1, while UTA's best response came from 19:45 P3 to 18:40 P3.

BUF pressureUTA pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3UTA held a slight edge

BUF

Pressure

0.86

3 shots · 0.10 xG

UTA

Pressure

1.27

2 shots · 0.21 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 0 · UTA 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.7xG0.6

1.4xG0.8

1.7xG1.7

UTA at BUF

Game ControlChance share: UTA 63.5%, BUF 36.5%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: John Marino (UTA), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure