Panthers 3, Sabres 5 — Oct 12, 2026

FLAPanthers

3–5

FINAL

BUFSabres

Shots23FLA

Shots32BUF

Model stars

1JonesFLAA+2ReinhartFLAA+3DahlinBUFA+

Oct 12, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

FLAPanthers

3–5

FINAL P3

BUFSabres

Shots

FLA23

Model stars

1JonesFLAA+2ReinhartFLAA+3DahlinBUFA+

Shots

BUF32

Oct 12, 2026 · KeyBank Center

Goal horn off

Situation:

FLA50.7%BUF49.3%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

FLA dominated

FLA created 1.28 more power-play xG.

FLA

2.19xGBUF

0.91xG

01.53

Goaltending Edge

BUF above expected

BUF gained the goalie advantage.

FLA

-2.1GSAxBUF

+0.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

BUF finished above expected

BUF are benefiting more from finishing luck.

FLA

-0.47G−xGBUF

+1.63G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

FLA dominated

FLA

2.19xGBUF

0.91xG

01.53

Goaltending edge

BUF above expected

FLA

-2.1GSAxBUF

+0.5GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

BUF finished above expected

FLA

-0.47G−xGBUF

+1.63G−xG

−40+4

All situations

FLA

BUF

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

FLA

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

BUF

Scrub game time · 60:00

BUF 5-3 FLA

End of Game

60:00

4v6 · EN

FLA

0.0%

BUF

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

FLA have the extra attacker at 4v6.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

FLA had the longest sustained stretch from 6:25 P2 to 5:10 P2, while BUF's best response came from 18:00 P1 to 17:00 P1.

BUF pressureFLA pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

BUF

Pressure

2.24

1 shot · 0.46 xG

FLA

Pressure

1.33

3 shots · 0.15 xG

High-danger chances: BUF 1 · FLA 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

0.7xG1.1

1.8xG1.1

1.1xG1.1

FLA at BUF

Game ControlChance share: FLA 50.7%, BUF 49.3%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Seth Jones (FLA), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure