Penguins 2, Avalanche 5 — Oct 16, 2026

PITPenguins

2–5

FINAL

COLAvalanche

Shots32PIT

Shots32COL

Model stars

1MacKinnonCOLA+2MakarCOLA+3GirardPITA+

Oct 16, 2026 · Ball Arena

Goal horn off

PITPenguins

2–5

FINAL P3

COLAvalanche

Shots

PIT32

Model stars

1MacKinnonCOLA+2MakarCOLA+3GirardPITA+

Shots

COL32

Oct 16, 2026 · Ball Arena

Goal horn off

Situation:

PIT36.1%COL63.9%

Includes power plays, overtime and empty-net play. Chance share is not win probability.

Even-Strength Edge

≈ roughly even

Unavailable in this filter.

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special Teams Edge

COL had the edge

COL created 0.62 more power-play xG.

PIT

0.16xGCOL

0.79xG

01.252.5

Goaltending Edge

COL above expected

COL gained the goalie advantage.

PIT

-1.4GSAxCOL

+0.9GSAx

−40+4

Finishing Luck

COL held a slight edge

COL are benefiting more from finishing luck.

PIT

-0.85G−xGCOL

-0.04G−xG

−40+4

Even-strength edge

≈ roughly even

Even-strength xG share is unavailable in this filter.

Special teams edge

COL had the edge

PIT

0.16xGCOL

0.79xG

01.252.5

Goaltending edge

COL above expected

PIT

-1.4GSAxCOL

+0.9GSAx

−40+4

Finishing luck

COL held a slight edge

PIT

-0.85G−xGCOL

-0.04G−xG

−40+4

All situations

PIT

COL

Period:

Chances:

View:

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Win probability

Team:

PIT

0.0% WP

100.0% WP

COL

Scrub game time · 60:00

COL 5-2 PIT

End of Game

60:00

5v5

PIT

0.0%

COL

100.0%

Event impact

Unavailable for this event

WP reflects the current game state at 5v5.

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Game flow pressure

Attacking pressure over time based on shots and chance quality.

PIT had the longest sustained stretch from 11:10 P1 to 9:40 P1, while PIT's best response came from 15:45 P1 to 14:55 P1.

COL pressurePIT pressureGoalPower play

Scrub game time · 0:00 P3

0:00 P3≈ roughly even

COL

Pressure

0.40

2 shots · 0.00 xG

PIT

Pressure

0.00

0 shots · 0.00 xG

High-danger chances: COL 0 · PIT 0. Tap or drag across the chart, or use the time slider.

1.7xG0.6

0.7xG2.0

0.4xG2.5

PIT at COL

Game ControlChance share: PIT 36.1%, COL 63.9%Collapse

Shot qualityExplore shot locations and the quality of each scoring chance.Collapse

Game storyFollow win probability and attacking pressure as the game unfolds.Collapse

Win probability

Goaltender duelBoth starters on results, workload and the quality of shots they facedCollapse

PlayersTop game grade: Nathan MacKinnon (COL), A+Collapse

LinesFive-on-five forward lines, defensive pairings, and matchupsExplore

Event timelineEvery goal, penalty and shot in orderExplore

Box scoreOfficial team, skater, and goalie stats.Explore

Game summary

Game flow pressure