Bands show position percentiles; axis labels show current rolling values.
Dashed outline: peer average in the fixed reference. Outside = above average; inside = below average. All axes point outward for stronger results.
Player value: 2.81 Peer range: 1.68 – 4.20 xGF/60
MeanTom Wilson
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.81 · mean 2.54. Higher raw values rank higher.
Rolling profile against a fixed reference group
Fixed rolling-profile reference · 430 players. Values use the same history and smoothing as the radar.
History, sample sizes & calculation
Higher radar percentiles mean stronger recorded results against the fixed reference, including older seasons. These are separate from this season’s league percentile. Each player has a different amount of covered history. Weighted minutes and attempts give recent games more influence. “Prior” is the share contributed by a frozen league baseline: it is higher when a player has less evidence, and differs by metric because each uses its own smoothing strength. It is not a confidence score.
On-ice offense · xGF/60
1115.1 weighted minutes · 15% prior
On-ice defense · xGA/60
1115.1 weighted minutes · 26% prior
Chance generation · ixG/60
1115.1 weighted minutes · 15% prior
Shot quality · ixG/attempt
167.1 weighted attempts · 13% prior
Finishing · goals above expected/60
167.1 weighted attempts · 19% prior
History through Oct 17, 2026. Recent games count more than older games. History carries across seasons and stays unchanged while inactive. On-ice results are shared; finishing describes results rather than established talent.
Recent scoring against his own season
Recent scoring against his own season
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1 award records
Stanley Cup · 2017–18
Every metric name opens its definition; the full list lives in Metrics.
Traditional statistics cover all situations. Supporting five-on-five analyses use completed games, raw adjustment and exposure from xG model v4. The two samples can differ.
An em dash means unavailable, not zero. A partial season remains partial. Where a panel reports evidence coverage, its rates use only the covered games. History never substitutes a different model, and a missing appearance interrupts a rolling model window.
Shot maps use the same shot model as Game Center and show which model version scored recent shots beside the rink. Older seasons can use earlier model versions. High danger means a model scoring probability of at least 0.20 on an unblocked attempt; for goalies, medium danger is 0.08 to 0.20 and low is below 0.08.
Special-team buckets include the wider recorded man-advantage and man-down states, read from the player’s own team; for a goalie, penalty kill means facing a power play. Their ranks need 100 recorded minutes and at least 30 qualified peers; below 100 minutes, penalty-kill percentiles are provisional. Playoff values have no ranks or percentiles. Team share is player ice time divided by team ice time in that situation, over the games the player dressed. Zone starts describe faceoff-started five-on-five shifts and exclude on-the-fly starts.
Penalties count events, including one for a double minor; bench and served-by roles are excluded, and victimless infractions have no drawn role. EPV added sums changes in the probability that the possessing team scores next; it is not standings points or an isolated player grade. Rolling windows never cross seasons or season types, and a missed game is not a zero-performance appearance. Career rates use summed counts and exposure, never an average of season rates; a missing contributing season withholds its career metric, and Performance begins in 2023–24.
Elite90+Strong70–89Average30–69Weak10–29Poor<10Bar length is the peer percentile, so longer is always better · tick at the 50th
Player value: 2.31 Peer range: 0.30 – 3.71 / 60
MeanTom Wilson
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.31 · mean 1.69. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded five-on-five goals plus assists per 60 minutes.
How to read these comparisons
Player values are recorded season results. Peer averages are arithmetic means of qualified players in the selected group; each row uses the same peers for its average and rank. Ranks use unrounded values, with tied players sharing a rank and the next rank skipped. Lower xG against ranks better. Bar colours are the five performance tiers; context rows are blue and not graded. Differences from the average describe the season, not isolated player impact.
Goals above expected is the raw goals-minus-xG rate, without the shrinkage used in the older finishing comparison. On-ice measures include teammates, opponents and deployment. These recorded metrics describe different quantities from the adjusted Season score components beside them.
Skaters need 20 appearances and 300 five-on-five minutes; quality and finishing also need 75 unblocked attempts. Early in a season these minimums scale down with games played so far. At least 30 peers must qualify. Playoff ranks are withheld. A reviewed axis whose own evidence fails is withheld and shown with its reason rather than ranked. These workload rules do not express statistical confidence.
Position uses the NHL listed primary position available now; it does not establish historical position or actual deployment. Broad groups are forwards, defence and goalies. This version uses the current model’s covered games only.
Season vs reference
Per game · all situations
Metric2025–26ReferenceDiff
0.420.41+0.01
0.440.40+0.05
0.860.80+0.06
2.132.09+0.04
Reference: 2024–25 · 81 games.
Each game against his own season
Points in each game, coloured by how good the game wasTrailing 10 games, per gameSeason 0.86
Points
10
5 G · 5 A
Team record
8–2–0
in his games
5v5 xG share
40.9%
on ice
5v5 ixG
1.3
individual expected goals
Avg TOI
18:24
all situations
Tiles cover the last 10 games.
Usage by situation
Ice time, share of team ice time, scoring and scoring rate, with where shifts start.
Scope
TOI/GP
Team share
G
A
P
P/60
Five-on-five
13:21
27.8%
17
20
37
2.31
Power play
2:50
56.9%
7
5
12
3.52
Penalty kill
2:06
42.1%
1
0
1
0.40
Other
1:10
—
5
7
12
8.59
All situations
19:28
32.0%
30
32
62
2.65
Where the 62 points come from · All situations
Goals30 · 1.28/60
Primary assists17 · 0.73/60
Secondary assists15 · 0.64/60
24.2% of points are secondary assists. Peer average 22.7%. Primary points per 60 (2.01).
Zone starts 46.1% offensive of OZ + DZ · 21th percentile
Offensive 27.8%Neutral 39.8%Defensive 32.5%
Shifts
23.2 a game · 0:50 average
Zone starts: five-on-five · Shifts: all situations
T-309th in NHL
T-40th in NHL
T-114th in NHL
T-75th in NHL
T-150th in NHL
Tom Wilson
236 attempts27.22 xG30 G
Goal30Shot on goal123Missed shot83Blocked shot0Larger dot = higher xG
Shooting by zone
Zone
Att
G
xG
Goal rate / exp.
G−xG
High slot
68
10
8.1
14.7% / 11.9%
+1.9
Left circle
8
2
0.4
25.0% / 4.8%
+1.6
Point
43
4
2.6
9.3% / 6.1%
+1.4
Below goal line
6
0
0.1
0.0% / 1.9%
−0.1
Right circle
11
0
0.3
0.0% / 2.7%
−0.3
Outer slot
12
2
2.3
16.7% / 19.2%
−0.3
Inner slot
88
12
13.4
13.6% / 15.3%
−1.4
All zones
236
30
27.2
12.7% / 11.5%
+2.8
Sorted by goals minus expected goals. Goal rate is goals per unblocked attempt against the expected rate. Hover a row to light up those attempts on the rink.
Finishing evidence. Scoring 12.7% on chances vs 11.5% expected (+1.2 points), led by high slot volume and snap finishing.
Shot types236 attempts
Type
Share
Sh%
G−xG
Snap
32.2%
30.9%
+5.4
Wrist
27.1%
12.5%
−1.2
Tip-in
20.8%
12.0%
−1.4
Backhand
8.9%
18.8%
+0.4
Slap
8.9%
7.7%
−0.7
Deflected
1.7%
25.0%
+0.4
Other
0.4%
—
−0.1
Share is context, not a grade. Sh% counts shots on goal only.
High-danger chancesmodel probability ≥ 0.20
Attempts14.4% of the selected attempts
34
Goals
13
Expected goals
11.7
Conversion
38.2%34.5% expected
Shot profilecontext · not graded
On-net rate153 of 236 attempts on goal
64.8%
Slot share156 of 236 from the inner or high slot
66.1%
Average distancefrom the centre of the net
26.3 ft
Rebound attempts / 6027 this season · all situations
1.16
Every game · rest counts days off before the game; the playoff field is the standings' top three per division plus two wild cards
Split
GP
G
A
P
P/GP
5v5 xG share
Team record
Venue
Home
34
19
17
36
1.06
58.7%
22–7–5
Away
38
11
15
26
0.68
53.0%
17–17–4
Rest
Back-to-back
14
2
5
7
0.50
50.1%
5–6–3
1 day of rest
38
18
22
40
1.05
59.8%
23–10–5
2+ days of rest
19
9
5
14
0.74
52.7%
11–7–1
Opponent
vs Eastern
46
20
23
43
0.93
55.8%
25–16–5
vs Western
26
10
9
19
0.73
56.1%
14–8–4
vs playoff teams
36
14
11
25
0.69
56.0%
17–13–6
vs non-playoff teams
36
16
21
37
1.03
55.8%
22–11–3
Recent
Last 10
10
5
5
10
1.00
40.9%
8–2–0
By period and score state
Split
G
A
P
5v5 xG share
5v5 CF%
5v5 GF–GA
Period
1st period
10
9
19
—
—
—
2nd period
7
9
16
—
—
—
3rd period
13
13
26
—
—
—
Overtime
0
1
1
—
—
—
Score state · 5v5 on ice
Leading
—
—
—
54.5%
51.3%
19–11
Tied
—
—
—
57.9%
51.2%
19–11
Trailing
—
—
—
55.8%
59.4%
14–13
From play-by-play; shootouts excluded. Score state is his team's, before each event.
Most often with Aliaksei Protas: 639 five-on-five minutes, 57.5% xG share together
Most often with Aliaksei Protas: 639 five-on-five minutes, 57.5% xG share together
Five-on-five · time together from shift charts (1,032:39 of his 5v5 ice time) · xG share together and apart
Teammate
Pos
TOI together
xG share together
GF–GA
CF%
Him without
Teammate without
Aliaksei Protas
L
638:41
57.5%
37–20
55.7%
53.0%
45.5%
Jakob Chychrun
D
406:43
60.2%
24–13
59.7%
52.7%
49.5%
Martin Fehérváry
D
375:50
54.6%
16–13
50.0%
56.8%
48.0%
Matt Roy
D
341:43
57.4%
15–12
56.2%
55.2%
45.7%
Justin Sourdif
C
321:48
60.4%
19–6
55.4%
53.9%
49.8%
John Carlson
D
279:42
57.9%
20–8
55.7%
55.3%
51.1%
Connor McMichael
L
274:39
51.1%
14–15
50.7%
58.1%
46.1%
Rasmus Sandin
D
270:52
54.7%
15–9
49.9%
56.5%
48.7%
Pierre-Luc Dubois
C
256:14
51.7%
14–13
48.4%
57.4%
49.0%
Trevor van Riemsdyk
D
220:11
53.7%
11–7
51.2%
56.7%
52.7%
Dylan Strome
C
186:08
57.3%
6–10
56.1%
55.8%
50.9%
Hendrix Lapierre
C
89:40
63.7%
4–3
60.9%
55.3%
55.4%
Without columns are five-on-five xG share apart: him on the ice without that teammate, and the teammate without him (with this club). Bars are centred on an even 50%.
Season grade
A
#57 of 400 qualified F86th percentile
Performance / 600.1672/72 GP
Strong offense, chance creation, and finishing — highlighted by 2.93 on-ice expected goals for per 60 (18th of 109).
12 NHL seasons: 766 games, 435 points
12 NHL seasons: 766 games, 435 points
Totals cover all situations; rates are five-on-five.
Expected goals against while the player is on the ice (fewer is better)
Chance creation
Expected goals from the player’s own shots
Finishing
Goals minus expected goals on the player’s own shots
Assisting
Primary assists plus half of secondary assists
Each is measured against expectation, per 60 rated minutes: plus is above, minus below.
How this is calculated
Score breakdown
Component
Weight
Scaled
Contribution
Offense
25%
0.347
+0.087
Defense
25%
0.083
+0.021
Chance creation
20%
0.203
+0.041
Finishing
10%
0.087
+0.009
Assisting
20%
−0.009
−0.002
Performance rate
0.155
Per 60 rated minutes, over the scored appearances. Each component is scaled separately, then weighted; the contributions add to the performance rate at full precision, so rounded figures may differ.
Scoring
Season grade is the qualified peer percentile on the same letter bands as Game Grade — A+ ≥88, A ≥78, A− ≥68, B+ ≥58, B ≥50, B− ≥42, C+ ≥35, C ≥28, C− ≥22, D ≥15, F below 15 — and needs qualification plus at least 30 eligible peers. The letter describes this season’s performance, not permanent ability.
Comparisons
Rank and component percentiles compare this season’s qualified forwards on unrounded rates over every checked appearance; Game Grade compares one appearance with frozen historical games.
Component percentiles are never averaged into the score. Recent history is optional, from up to three completed prior seasons; small samples are provisional.
Coverage
Qualification: 29 covered appearances, 492.0 rated minutes, and 90% appearance and workload coverage. Minimums advance with league progress; valid low-sample results stay visible.
Rated minutes exclude play with a goalie pulled: 61.1 min excluded; official TOI 1401.3 min.
Coverage: complete. Updated .
Method
Five weighted components add to the performance rate. Five-on-five offense and defense account for recorded teammates, opponents and game state, so shared on-ice results are not isolated individual ability. Finishing is scored against the shot model’s historical-shooter expectation and assisting counts primary assists plus half of secondary assists; both use the strength baseline, chance creation its positional baseline.
Legacy rating
Legacy season score: 82.1 / 100. The fixed exposure baseline is 50; this is separate from the season peer grade.
