Noah Cates — 2026–27 stats and season rank | IceSheet
Noah Cates
Philadelphia Flyers·#27·Left wing · Shoots left
Age 27 · 6′2″ · 194 lb · Stillwater, Minnesota, USA
Loading season standing…
Games11
Goals00.00/GP▼0.22
Assists10.09/GP▼0.26
Points10.09/GP▼0.48
5v5 xG share…
/
Loading season standing and profile…
Season comparisons
Loading peer comparisons and model evidence…
Optional recent-history profile
Rolling Radar
Loading recent-history profile…
Loading model evidence…
Loading defensive evidence…
Shot locations
Loading canonical shot events…
Usage by situation
Loading usage…
Loading special teams…
Rolling Radar
Recent NHL history, carried across seasons. The radar compares this broader profile with a fixed position-group reference.
Rolling profile is currently unavailable.
Recent scoring against his own season
Recent scoring against his own season
Loading recent games…
Loading splits…
Loading linemates…
Loading playoff games…
Loading game log…
Loading career ledger…
Every metric name opens its definition; the full list lives in Metrics.
Traditional statistics cover all situations. Supporting five-on-five analyses use completed games, raw adjustment and exposure from xG model v4. The two samples can differ.
An em dash means unavailable, not zero. A partial season remains partial. Where a panel reports evidence coverage, its rates use only the covered games. History never substitutes a different model, and a missing appearance interrupts a rolling model window.
Shot maps use the same shot model as Game Center and show which model version scored recent shots beside the rink. Older seasons can use earlier model versions. High danger means a model scoring probability of at least 0.20 on an unblocked attempt; for goalies, medium danger is 0.08 to 0.20 and low is below 0.08.
Special-team buckets include the wider recorded man-advantage and man-down states, read from the player’s own team; for a goalie, penalty kill means facing a power play. Their ranks need 100 recorded minutes and at least 30 qualified peers; below 100 minutes, penalty-kill percentiles are provisional. Playoff values have no ranks or percentiles. Team share is player ice time divided by team ice time in that situation, over the games the player dressed. Zone starts describe faceoff-started five-on-five shifts and exclude on-the-fly starts.
Penalties count events, including one for a double minor; bench and served-by roles are excluded, and victimless infractions have no drawn role. EPV added sums changes in the probability that the possessing team scores next; it is not standings points or an isolated player grade. Rolling windows never cross seasons or season types, and a missed game is not a zero-performance appearance. Career rates use summed counts and exposure, never an average of season rates; a missing contributing season withholds its career metric, and Performance begins in 2023–24.
No checked season results are available for this selection.
No checked season results are available for this selection.
No complete checked component breakdown is available for this selection.
Most often with Porter Martone: 61 five-on-five minutes, 54.7% xG share together
Most often with Porter Martone: 61 five-on-five minutes, 54.7% xG share together
Five-on-five · time together from shift charts (112:49 of his 5v5 ice time) · xG share together and apart
Teammate
Pos
TOI together
xG share together
GF–GA
CF%
Him without
Teammate without
Porter Martone
R
61:19
54.7%
2–3
49.5%
38.1%
44.2%
Matvei Michkov
R
51:53
64.6%
3–3
49.4%
31.0%
25.8%
Travis Sanheim
D
37:56
50.0%
2–2
55.1%
44.3%
39.1%
Jamie Drysdale
D
35:50
40.0%
2–3
38.7%
49.8%
31.4%
Nick Seeler
D
35:46
42.2%
1–0
42.9%
48.3%
29.8%
David Jiricek
D
33:39
69.3%
1–1
43.4%
38.5%
41.4%
Simon Benoit
D
33:20
48.5%
0–2
47.8%
46.4%
26.0%
Tyson Foerster
R
31:07
45.6%
0–2
39.3%
47.5%
29.3%
Noel Acciari
C
20:13
27.3%
0–1
45.2%
51.8%
34.8%
Cam York
D
19:04
13.6%
0–2
30.8%
57.1%
31.4%
Oliver Bonk
D
18:57
46.2%
0–2
63.3%
47.1%
53.5%
Michael Bunting
L
9:43
16.6%
0–1
40.0%
52.7%
29.6%
Without columns are five-on-five xG share apart: him on the ice without that teammate, and the teammate without him (with this club). Bars are centred on an even 50%.
47.3%37th of 49
Weak 47.3% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (37th of 49)
Weak 47.3% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (37th of 49)
Average 2.19 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (18th of 49)
Average 2.19 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (18th of 49)
Defensive metrics
Five-on-five on-ice suppression; individual events in all situations.
Suppression
Player
Percentile
Rank
52.79
26 / 4948th
—
—
—
0.059
14 / 4973rd
Puck management
Player
Percentile
Rank
1.69
3 / 4996th
1.69
5 / 4992nd
0.00
T-23 / 4954th
Physical style
Player
Percentile
Rank
2.12
17 / 4967th
3.81
25 / 4950th
Context · not graded
Player value: 52.79 Peer range: 36.16 – 75.48 / 60
MeanNoah Cates
Lower (better)Higher
Player 52.79 · mean 52.76. Lower raw values are better.
On-ice attempts against per 60, including blocks.
Evidence coverage: high danger 7 of 11 games.
Discipline & puck management
Recorded season event counts · all situations
Penaltiesnet 0
Taken 1Drawn 1
Puck eventsnet 0
Giveaways 4Takeaways 4
Blocks
5
all situations
Hits
9
all situations
0.00 power-play points per 60
0.00 power-play points per 60
Power play
2:15 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PP
4.3%
in games dressed
PP points
0
goals + assists
Unit xGF / 60
13.81
team without: 8.13
Power play rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
0.00
—
0.00
—
26.67
—
5.98
—
13.81
—
0.00
—
No rank yet
Player value: 0.00 Peer distribution not published for this axis.
Noah Cates
Lower Higher (better)
Player 0.00 · mean —. Higher raw values rank higher. Needs 100 minutes in this special-teams scope.
Recorded goals plus assists per 60 in this scope; widened power-play and penalty-kill scopes.
Needs 100 minutes in this special-teams scope.
Penalty kill
22:56 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PK
33.2%
in games dressed
SH points
0
goals + assists
Unit xGA / 60
7.92
team without: 6.74
Penalty kill rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
7.92
—
2.62
—
88.95
—
13.08
—
1.32
—
No rank yet
Player value: 7.92 Peer distribution not published for this axis.
Noah Cates
Lower (better)Higher
Player 7.92 · mean —. Lower raw values are better. Fewer than 30 qualified peers.
Raw on-ice expected goals against per 60; the Season metrics sample.
Fewer than 30 qualified peers.
12:54 TOI per game (10:20 at five-on-five · 0:12 PP · 2:05 PK)
12:54 TOI per game (10:20 at five-on-five · 0:12 PP · 2:05 PK)
Weak 0.44 individual expected goals per 60 (44th of 49)
Weak 0.44 individual expected goals per 60 (44th of 49)
Results vs expected
Five-on-five · what happened beside the chances created and allowed
Chances
Player
Percentile
Rank
1.96
44 / 4910th
2.19
18 / 4965th
47.3
37 / 4925th
Goals
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Luck & variance
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Context · not graded
Player value: 1.96 Peer range: 1.35 – 4.19 / 60
MeanNoah Cates
Lower Higher (better)
Player 1.96 · mean 2.74. Higher raw values rank higher.
Raw on-ice expected goals for per 60; the Season metrics sample.
5v5 goals
—
8 of 11 games
5v5 expected
3.7–4.1
xG for–against
EPV added
—
Attribution unavailable
On ice vs off ice
Philadelphia's share with Noah Cates on the ice against the same team without him.
Share
On ice and off ice
On-minus-off gap in percentage points
xGF%
On ice 47.3%; off ice 35.1%.
35.147.3
+12.2
CF%
On ice 46.5%; off ice 39.4%.
39.446.5
+7.1
GF%
On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable
—
On iceOff ice
Scale 35–65% · marker at 50% · right column is the on-minus-off gap in points
Steady 1 point in the last 10 games (0.10 per game vs 0.09 this season)
Steady 1 point in the last 10 games (0.10 per game vs 0.09 this season)
0.17 points per game at home · 0.00 away
0.17 points per game at home · 0.00 away
11 games · most recent vs COL, W 3–2: 0 G, 1 A
11 games · most recent vs COL, W 3–2: 0 G, 1 A
Shot map
All 13 attempts
Noah Cates
13 attempts1.34 xG0 G
Goal0Shot on goal10Missed shot3Blocked shot0Larger dot = higher xG
Shooting by zone
Hover a row to light it up · click to pin
Zone
Att
G
xG
Goal rate
Exp.
Goals vs expected
G−xG
Left circle
2
0
0.0
0.0%
1.8%
0.0
Point
3
0
0.0
0.0%
1.6%
0.0
Outer slot
1
0
0.1
0.0%
7.4%
−0.1
Inner slot
2
0
0.4
0.0%
19.8%
−0.4
High slot
5
0
0.8
0.0%
15.6%
−0.8
All zones
13
0
1.3
0.0%
10.3%
−1.3
Finishing evidence. Scoring 0.0% on chances vs 10.3% expected (−10.3 points), with the largest shortfall in the high slot.
Sorted by goals minus expected goals. Goal rate is goals per unblocked attempt against the expected rate.
Shot profile
Context · not graded
On-net rate
76.9%
10 of 13 attempts on goal
Slot share
53.8%
7 from the inner or high slot
Average distance
34.9 ft
from the centre of the net
Rebound attempts / 60
0.42
1 this season · all situations
Shot types
13 attempts
Type
Share
Sh%
G−xG
Wrist
46.2%
0.0%
−0.3
Snap
30.8%
0.0%
−0.8
Backhand
15.4%
0.0%
−0.2
Tip-in
7.7%
0.0%
0.0
Share is context, not a grade. Sh% counts shots on goal only.
High-danger chances
Model goal probability ≥ 0.20
Conversion0.0%−24.5 pts vs expected
Actual0.0%
Expected24.5%
Attempts
3
23.1% of these attempts
Goals
0
—
Expected goals
0.7
0.24 xG per attempt
G−xG
−0.7
below model
Usage by situation
Ice time, share of team ice time, scoring and scoring rate, with where shifts start.
Scope
TOI/GP
Team share
G
A
P
P/60
Five-on-five
10:20
21.7%
0
1
1
0.53
Power play
0:12
4.3%
0
0
0
0.00
Penalty kill
2:05
33.2%
0
0
0
0.00
Other
0:16
—
0
0
0
0.00
All situations
12:54
21.1%
0
1
1
0.42
Where the 1 points come from · All situations
Goals0 · 0.00/60
Primary assists0 · 0.00/60
Secondary assists1 · 0.42/60
100.0% of points are secondary assists. Peer average 26.9%. Primary points per 60 (0.00).
Zone starts 55.8% offensive of OZ + DZ · 44th percentile
Offensive 37.2%Neutral 33.3%Defensive 29.5%
Shifts
19.2 a game · 0:40 average
Zone starts: five-on-five · Shifts: all situations
Faceoffs
All situations · zones are read from his side of the draw · values only; no peer ranks yet
Win %
48.0%
49 of 102 draws
Draws per game
9.27
11 games
Offensive zone
42.1%
38 draws
Defensive zone
58.1%
31 draws
Power play
0.0%
1 draws
6 NHL seasons: 328 games, 150 points
6 NHL seasons: 328 games, 150 points
Totals cover all situations; rates are five-on-five.
Elite90+Strong70–89Average30–69Weak10–29Poor<10Bar length is the peer percentile, so longer is always better · tick at the 50th
Player value: 0.53 Peer range: 0.00 – 3.83 / 60
MeanNoah Cates
Lower Higher (better)
Player 0.53 · mean 1.83. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded five-on-five goals plus assists per 60 minutes.
How to read these comparisons
Player values are recorded season results. Peer averages are arithmetic means of qualified players in the selected group; each row uses the same peers for its average and rank. Ranks use unrounded values, with tied players sharing a rank and the next rank skipped. Lower xG against ranks better. Bar colours are the five performance tiers; context rows are blue and not graded. Differences from the average describe the season, not isolated player impact.
Goals above expected is the raw goals-minus-xG rate, without the shrinkage used in the older finishing comparison. On-ice measures include teammates, opponents and deployment. These recorded metrics describe different quantities from the adjusted Season score components beside them.
Skaters need 20 appearances and 300 five-on-five minutes; quality and finishing also need 75 unblocked attempts. Early in a season these minimums scale down with games played so far. At least 30 peers must qualify. Playoff ranks are withheld. A reviewed axis whose own evidence fails is withheld and shown with its reason rather than ranked. These workload rules do not express statistical confidence.
Position uses the NHL listed primary position available now; it does not establish historical position or actual deployment. Broad groups are forwards, defence and goalies. This version uses the current model’s covered games only.
Season vs reference
Per game · all situations
Metric2026–27ReferenceDiff
0.000.22-0.22
0.090.35-0.26
0.090.57-0.48
0.911.61-0.70
Reference: 2025–26 · 82 games.
Each game against his own season
Points in each game, coloured by how good the game wasTrailing 10 games, per gameSeason 0.09
