Bands show position percentiles; axis labels show current rolling values.
Dashed outline: peer average in the fixed reference. Outside = above average; inside = below average. All axes point outward for stronger results.
Player value: 2.84 Peer range: 1.68 – 4.20 xGF/60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.84 · mean 2.54. Higher raw values rank higher.
Rolling profile against a fixed reference group
Fixed rolling-profile reference · 430 players. Values use the same history and smoothing as the radar.
History, sample sizes & calculation
Higher radar percentiles mean stronger recorded results against the fixed reference, including older seasons. These are separate from this season’s league percentile. Each player has a different amount of covered history. Weighted minutes and attempts give recent games more influence. “Prior” is the share contributed by a frozen league baseline: it is higher when a player has less evidence, and differs by metric because each uses its own smoothing strength. It is not a confidence score.
On-ice offense · xGF/60
1225.7 weighted minutes · 14% prior
On-ice defense · xGA/60
1225.7 weighted minutes · 25% prior
Chance generation · ixG/60
1225.7 weighted minutes · 14% prior
Shot quality · ixG/attempt
183.2 weighted attempts · 12% prior
Finishing · goals above expected/60
183.2 weighted attempts · 18% prior
History through Oct 17, 2026. Recent games count more than older games. History carries across seasons and stays unchanged while inactive. On-ice results are shared; finishing describes results rather than established talent.
Recent scoring against his own season
Recent scoring against his own season
Loading recent games…
Loading splits…
Loading linemates…
Loading playoff games…
Loading game log…
Loading career ledger…
1 award records
Stanley Cup · 2021–22
Every metric name opens its definition; the full list lives in Metrics.
Traditional statistics cover all situations. Supporting five-on-five analyses use completed games, raw adjustment and exposure from xG model v4. The two samples can differ.
An em dash means unavailable, not zero. A partial season remains partial. Where a panel reports evidence coverage, its rates use only the covered games. History never substitutes a different model, and a missing appearance interrupts a rolling model window.
Shot maps use the same shot model as Game Center and show which model version scored recent shots beside the rink. Older seasons can use earlier model versions. High danger means a model scoring probability of at least 0.20 on an unblocked attempt; for goalies, medium danger is 0.08 to 0.20 and low is below 0.08.
Special-team buckets include the wider recorded man-advantage and man-down states, read from the player’s own team; for a goalie, penalty kill means facing a power play. Their ranks need 100 recorded minutes and at least 30 qualified peers; below 100 minutes, penalty-kill percentiles are provisional. Playoff values have no ranks or percentiles. Team share is player ice time divided by team ice time in that situation, over the games the player dressed. Zone starts describe faceoff-started five-on-five shifts and exclude on-the-fly starts.
Penalties count events, including one for a double minor; bench and served-by roles are excluded, and victimless infractions have no drawn role. EPV added sums changes in the probability that the possessing team scores next; it is not standings points or an isolated player grade. Rolling windows never cross seasons or season types, and a missed game is not a zero-performance appearance. Career rates use summed counts and exposure, never an average of season rates; a missing contributing season withholds its career metric, and Performance begins in 2023–24.
Expected goals against while the player is on the ice (fewer is better)
Chance creation
Expected goals from the player’s own shots
Finishing
Goals minus expected goals on the player’s own shots
Assisting
Primary assists plus half of secondary assists
Each is measured against expectation, per 60 rated minutes: plus is above, minus below.
How this is calculated
Score breakdown
Component
Weight
Scaled
Contribution
Offense
25%
0.120
+0.030
Defense
25%
−0.091
−0.023
Chance creation
20%
0.272
+0.054
Finishing
10%
−0.178
−0.018
Assisting
20%
0.143
+0.029
Performance rate
0.072
Per 60 rated minutes, over the scored appearances. Each component is scaled separately, then weighted; the contributions add to the performance rate at full precision, so rounded figures may differ.
Scoring
Season grade is the qualified peer percentile on the same letter bands as Game Grade — A+ ≥88, A ≥78, A− ≥68, B+ ≥58, B ≥50, B− ≥42, C+ ≥35, C ≥28, C− ≥22, D ≥15, F below 15 — and needs qualification plus at least 30 eligible peers. The letter describes this season’s performance, not permanent ability.
Comparisons
Rank and component percentiles compare this season’s qualified forwards on unrounded rates over every checked appearance; Game Grade compares one appearance with frozen historical games.
Component percentiles are never averaged into the score. Recent history is optional, from up to three completed prior seasons; small samples are provisional.
Coverage
Qualification: 29 covered appearances, 492.0 rated minutes, and 90% appearance and workload coverage. Minimums advance with league progress; valid low-sample results stay visible.
Rated minutes exclude play with a goalie pulled: 85.0 min excluded; official TOI 1614.1 min.
Coverage: partial. Updated .
Method
Five weighted components add to the performance rate. Five-on-five offense and defense account for recorded teammates, opponents and game state, so shared on-ice results are not isolated individual ability. Finishing is scored against the shot model’s historical-shooter expectation and assisting counts primary assists plus half of secondary assists; both use the strength baseline, chance creation its positional baseline.
Legacy rating
Legacy season score: 72.7 / 100. The fixed exposure baseline is 50; this is separate from the season peer grade.
Most often with Nathan MacKinnon: 646 five-on-five minutes, 56.0% xG share together
Most often with Nathan MacKinnon: 646 five-on-five minutes, 56.0% xG share together
Five-on-five · time together from shift charts (1,288:48 of his 5v5 ice time) · xG share together and apart
Teammate
Pos
TOI together
xG share together
GF–GA
CF%
Him without
Teammate without
Nathan MacKinnon
C
645:48
56.0%
20–25
57.1%
52.4%
57.7%
Cale Makar
D
525:39
55.8%
17–20
58.4%
53.2%
54.1%
Devon Toews
D
428:08
53.4%
16–20
55.8%
54.8%
55.1%
Artturi Lehkonen
L
301:55
56.1%
10–8
56.2%
53.7%
55.3%
Samuel Girard
D
242:53
56.9%
12–7
54.0%
53.6%
52.2%
Casey Mittelstadt
C
205:17
46.4%
10–2
47.0%
55.5%
48.2%
Ross Colton
C
191:38
56.0%
9–5
53.7%
54.0%
53.2%
Jason Robertson
L
166:41
46.2%
9–8
46.7%
55.5%
55.6%
Sebastian Aho
C
153:54
63.3%
5–5
60.5%
52.9%
57.6%
Roope Hintz
C
149:51
47.4%
7–8
47.2%
55.2%
53.0%
Sam Malinski
D
144:48
51.9%
3–3
46.6%
54.6%
50.6%
Josh Manson
D
131:31
52.7%
4–3
51.4%
54.5%
47.0%
Without columns are five-on-five xG share apart: him on the ice without that teammate, and the teammate without him (with this club). Bars are centred on an even 50%.
Strong 0.89 individual expected goals per 60 (23rd of 97)
Strong 0.89 individual expected goals per 60 (23rd of 97)
54.6%16th of 97
Strong 54.6% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (16th of 97)
Strong 54.6% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (16th of 97)
Weak 2.65 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (69th of 97)
Weak 2.65 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (69th of 97)
Defensive metrics
Five-on-five on-ice suppression; individual events in all situations.
Suppression
Player
Percentile
Rank
55.89
32 / 9768th
—
—
—
0.067
89 / 978th
Puck management
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Physical style
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
Context · not graded
Player value: 55.89 Peer range: 44.16 – 76.92 / 60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower (better)Higher
Player 55.89 · mean 58.18. Lower raw values are better.
On-ice attempts against per 60, including blocks.
Discipline & puck management
Recorded season event counts · all situations
Penaltiesnet —
Taken —Drawn —
Puck eventsnet —
Giveaways —Takeaways —
Blocks
—
all situations
Hits
—
all situations
Average 4.78 power-play points per 60 (23rd of 53)
Average 4.78 power-play points per 60 (23rd of 53)
Power play
301:15 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PP
—
in games dressed
PP points
24
goals + assists
Unit xGF / 60
8.19
team without: —
Power play rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
4.78
23 / 5358th
—
—
—
9.96
33 / 5338th
1.97
20 / 5363rd
8.19
26 / 5352nd
—
—
—
Player value: 4.78 Peer range: 1.09 – 9.31 / 60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower Higher (better)
Player 4.78 · mean 4.55. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded goals plus assists per 60 in this scope; widened power-play and penalty-kill scopes.
Penalty kill
1:00 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PK
—
in games dressed
SH points
0
goals + assists
Unit xGA / 60
0.00
team without: —
Penalty kill rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
0.00
—
—
—
—
0.00
—
—
—
—
0.00
—
No rank yet
Player value: 0.00 Peer range: 0.00 – 9.92 / 60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower (better)Higher
Player 0.00 · mean 7.72. Lower raw values are better. Fewer than 30 qualified peers.
Raw on-ice expected goals against per 60; the Season metrics sample.
Fewer than 30 qualified peers.
21:15 TOI per game (15:16 at five-on-five · 3:40 PP · 0:01 PK)
21:15 TOI per game (15:16 at five-on-five · 3:40 PP · 0:01 PK)
Strong offense, chance creation, and playmaking, but he's struggling to finish and gives up too much in his own end — 0.32 goals below expected per 60 (80th of 86).
Results vs expected
Five-on-five · what happened beside the chances created and allowed
Chances
Player
Percentile
Rank
3.19
4 / 9797th
2.65
69 / 9729th
54.6
16 / 9784th
Goals
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Luck & variance
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Context · not graded
Player value: 3.19 Peer range: 1.65 – 3.71 / 60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower Higher (better)
Player 3.19 · mean 2.56. Higher raw values rank higher.
Raw on-ice expected goals for per 60; the Season metrics sample.
5v5 goals
—
for–against
5v5 expected
66.5–55.3
xG for–against
EPV added
-0.67
13 attributed games · all situations
On ice vs off ice
Team share with Mikko Rantanen on the ice against the same team without him.
Share
On ice and off ice
On-minus-off gap in percentage points
xGF%
On ice 54.6% · Off ice unavailable
—
CF%
On ice 54.2% · Off ice unavailable
—
GF%
On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable
—
On iceOff ice
Scale 40–65% · marker at 50% · right column is the on-minus-off gap in points
Steady 10 points in the last 10 games (1.00 per game vs 1.07 this season)
Steady 10 points in the last 10 games (1.00 per game vs 1.07 this season)
1.07 points per game at home · 1.07 away
1.07 points per game at home · 1.07 away
82 games · most recent at NSH, L 1–5: 0 G, 0 A
82 games · most recent at NSH, L 1–5: 0 G, 0 A
Mikko Rantanen
338 attempts39.77 xG32 G
Goal32Shot on goal183Missed shot123Blocked shot0Larger dot = higher xG
Shooting by zone
Zone
Att
G
xG
Goal rate / exp.
G−xG
Right circle
35
8
3.0
22.9% / 8.6%
+5.0
Left circle
2
1
0.7
50.0% / 35.9%
+0.3
Point
43
4
4.1
9.3% / 9.4%
−0.1
Below goal line
8
0
0.4
0.0% / 5.6%
−0.4
High slot
114
13
14.4
11.4% / 12.6%
−1.4
Outer slot
42
1
4.5
2.4% / 10.7%
−3.5
Inner slot
94
5
12.6
5.3% / 13.4%
−7.6
All zones
338
32
39.8
9.5% / 11.8%
−7.8
Sorted by goals minus expected goals. Goal rate is goals per unblocked attempt against the expected rate. Hover a row to light up those attempts on the rink.
Finishing evidence. Scoring 9.5% on chances vs 11.8% expected (−2.3 points), with the largest shortfall in the inner slot.
Shot types338 attempts
Type
Share
Sh%
G−xG
Wrist
38.8%
16.3%
−2.5
Snap
26.6%
12.3%
−4.3
Tip-in
13.3%
3.8%
−2.8
Slap
8.3%
35.0%
+4.6
Backhand
6.8%
18.2%
−1.0
Deflected
3.8%
11.1%
−0.8
Other
2.4%
—
−0.9
Share is context, not a grade. Sh% counts shots on goal only.
High-danger chancesmodel probability ≥ 0.20
Attempts11.5% of the selected attempts
39
Goals
13
Expected goals
14.0
Conversion
33.3%35.9% expected
Shot profilecontext · not graded
On-net rate215 of 338 attempts on goal
63.6%
Slot share208 of 338 from the inner or high slot
61.5%
Average distancefrom the centre of the net
26.1 ft
Rebound attempts / 6025 this season · all situations
0.86
Usage by situation
Ice time, share of team ice time, scoring and scoring rate, with where shifts start.
Scope
TOI/GP
Team share
G
A
P
P/60
Five-on-five
15:16
—
12
25
37
1.77
Power play
3:40
—
9
15
24
4.78
Penalty kill
0:01
—
0
0
0
0.00
Other
2:18
—
11
16
27
8.60
All situations
21:15
—
32
56
88
3.03
Where the 88 points come from · All situations
Goals32 · 1.10/60
Primary assists— · —/60
Secondary assists— · —/60
Zone starts — offensive of OZ + DZ
Offensive —Neutral —Defensive —
Shifts
— a game · — average
Zone starts: five-on-five · Shifts: all situations
Faceoffs
All situations · zones are read from his side of the draw · values only; no peer ranks yet
Win %
52.9%
135 of 255 draws
Draws per game
3.11
82 games
Offensive zone
53.1%
224 draws
Defensive zone
35.7%
14 draws
Power play
46.3%
67 draws
12 NHL seasons: 724 games, 790 points
12 NHL seasons: 724 games, 790 points
Totals cover all situations; rates are five-on-five.
Elite90+Strong70–89Average30–69Weak10–29Poor<10Bar length is the peer percentile, so longer is always better · tick at the 50th
Player value: 1.77 Peer range: 0.44 – 2.93 / 60
MeanMikko Rantanen
Lower Higher (better)
Player 1.77 · mean 1.59. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded five-on-five goals plus assists per 60 minutes.
How to read these comparisons
Player values are recorded season results. Peer averages are arithmetic means of qualified players in the selected group; each row uses the same peers for its average and rank. Ranks use unrounded values, with tied players sharing a rank and the next rank skipped. Lower xG against ranks better. Bar colours are the five performance tiers; context rows are blue and not graded. Differences from the average describe the season, not isolated player impact.
Goals above expected is the raw goals-minus-xG rate, without the shrinkage used in the older finishing comparison. On-ice measures include teammates, opponents and deployment. These recorded metrics describe different quantities from the adjusted Season score components beside them.
Skaters need 20 appearances and 300 five-on-five minutes; quality and finishing also need 75 unblocked attempts. Early in a season these minimums scale down with games played so far. At least 30 peers must qualify. Playoff ranks are withheld. A reviewed axis whose own evidence fails is withheld and shown with its reason rather than ranked. These workload rules do not express statistical confidence.
Position uses the NHL listed primary position available now; it does not establish historical position or actual deployment. Broad groups are forwards, defence and goalies. This version uses the current model’s covered games only.
Season vs reference
Per game · all situations
Metric2024–25ReferenceDiff
0.390.53-0.13
0.680.78-0.09
1.071.30-0.23
2.593.39-0.80
Reference: 2023–24 · 80 games.
Each game against his own season
Points in each game, coloured by how good the game wasTrailing 10 games, per gameSeason 1.07
